Segunda Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
União de Leiria
vs
Academica
0 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | Ricardo Teixeira | ||
| 36′ | Leandro Silva | ||
| 46′ | Kouassi EboueTharlley Oliveira Da Silva | ||
| 46′ | Hugo MasakiMarc Baró | ||
| 46′ | Ricardo TeixeiraGabriel Miranda Rodrigues | ||
| 49′ | Kevin Zohi | ||
| 50′ | KakaAlioune Mané | ||
| 59′ | Leverton PierreMarcos Paulo | ||
| 66′ | José Nabil Ondo Onva AdjuguDamien Loppy | ||
| 66′ | Jose Pedro Barros GoncalvesJair silva da goncalves | ||
| 67′ | Leandro Silva | ||
| 69′ | Leandro SilvaHugo Nunes | ||
| 69′ | Kevin ZohiRui Gomes | ||
| 75′ | Miguel Ângelo Moreira de Magalhães | ||
| 81′ | jaiminhoSamuel Ntanda-Lukisa | ||
| 85′ | Afonso Rodrigues | ||
| 85′ | Ibrahima Kalil·Guirassy | ||
| 87′ | Afonso RodriguesIlies Faure |
União de Leiria
49%
Draw
26%
Academica
25%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
União de Leiria vs Academica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: União de Leiria vs Academica
| Probability | União de Leiria | Draw | Academica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 24.1% | 25.3% |
| Market | 48.0% | 27.0% | 25.0% |
| Final | 48.7% | 26.3% | 25.1% |
| Edge | +0.6% | -0.7% | +0.1% |
Why União de Leiria
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
63%
No goals
5%
União de Leiria and Academica expected goals
União de Leiria
1.93
Academica
1.33
Total expected goals: 3.26
União de Leiria and Academica attack and defence ratings
União de Leiria
Attack
1.25 +25%
Defence
0.97 -3%
Academica
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.22 +22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
União de Leiria vs Academica: result vs prediction
União de Leiria 0 – 2 Academica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
União de Leiria vs Academica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | União de Leiria | 48.7% | 2.05 | +0.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | União de Leiria | 48.7% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Academica | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | União de Leiria win | 29.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 2-0 | 7.2% |
União de Leiria vs Academica stats
União de Leiria and Academica recent form
| União de Leiria |
WDWWWL |
| Academica |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
União de Leiria and Academica going into this match
União de Leiria record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Academica record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
União de Leiria vs Academica head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2União de Leiria wins
4Draws
1Academica wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-12 | Academica | União de Leiria | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2023-01-15 | Academica | União de Leiria | Liga 3 | 1-3 |
| 2022-09-03 | União de Leiria | Academica | Liga 3 | 1-1 |
| 2012-01-20 | Academica | União de Leiria | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
| 2011-08-15 | União de Leiria | Academica | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2011-03-04 | Academica | União de Leiria | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
| 2010-10-01 | União de Leiria | Academica | Primeira Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
União de Leiria vs Academica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 27.0%, away 25.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.40 | 3.94 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.91 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.01 | 3.50 | 3.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.40 | 3.92 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.42 | 4.11 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.11 | 3.31 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.91 ▲ +0.01
X
3.40 —
2
3.67 ▼ -0.13
14 snapshots recorded, from .