O Elvas
vs
União de Leiria
0 – 2 Full time
| 69′ | O Elvas | ||
| 86′ | União de Leiria | ||
| 90′ | União de Leiria |
O Elvas vs União de Leiria overview
Garuda Lions analysis: O Elvas vs União de Leiria
| Probability | O Elvas | Draw | União de Leiria |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.2% | 19.7% | 14.1% |
| Market | 15.2% | 24.5% | 60.4% |
| Final | 27.9% | 23.3% | 48.8% |
| Edge | +51.0% | -4.8% | -46.2% |
Why União de Leiria
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
O Elvas and União de Leiria expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
O Elvas and União de Leiria attack and defence ratings
O Elvas
União de Leiria
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
O Elvas vs União de Leiria: result vs prediction
O Elvas 0 – 2 União de Leiria
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 128 fixtures
Before and after this match
O Elvas vs União de Leiria markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | União de Leiria | 48.8% | 2.05 | -46.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O Elvas | 27.9% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| União de Leiria | 48.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.3% |
| No | 40.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | União de Leiria win | 5.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 8.8% | |
| Loss | 86.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.7% |
| 2-0 | 9.3% | |
| 1-1 | 9.0% |
O Elvas vs União de Leiria stats
O Elvas and União de Leiria recent form
| O Elvas |
WLW |
| União de Leiria |
DWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.
O Elvas vs União de Leiria head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
O Elvas vs União de Leiria odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.1%, draw 24.5%, away 60.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.24 | 3.70 | 1.48 |
| Bet365 | 5.50 | 3.80 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.50 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 3.90 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 5.95 | 3.70 | 1.47 |
| Pinnacle | 5.43 | 3.67 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.40 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .