Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
O Elvas
vs
São Roque (Açores)
9 – 0 Full time
O Elvas
46%
Draw
27%
São Roque (Açores)
27%
O Elvas vs São Roque (Açores) overview
Garuda Lions analysis: O Elvas vs São Roque (Açores)
| Probability | O Elvas | Draw | São Roque (Açores) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 26.9% | 27.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.1% | 26.9% | 27.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why O Elvas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.19.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
O Elvas and São Roque (Açores) expected goals
O Elvas
1.62
São Roque (Açores)
1.19
Total expected goals: 2.81
O Elvas and São Roque (Açores) attack and defence ratings
O Elvas
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
0.81 -19%
São Roque (Açores)
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
O Elvas vs São Roque (Açores): result vs prediction
O Elvas 9 – 0 São Roque (Açores)
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Beira-Mar vs União Lamas — team news & stats
- Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo
- Varzim v Trofense — match page
- Fátima vs Benfica Castelo Branco — team news & stats
- Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
- Atlético Malveira v Mafra — match page
- FC Serpa vs O Grandolense — team news & stats
- Pacos Ferreira vs Fafe
Before and after this match
O Elvas vs São Roque (Açores) markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O Elvas | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | O Elvas | 46.1% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| São Roque (Açores) | 27.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | O Elvas win | 24.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 53.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
O Elvas vs São Roque (Açores) stats
O Elvas and São Roque (Açores) recent form
| O Elvas |
LW |
| São Roque (Açores) |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.