Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Beira-Mar
vs
União Lamas
3 – 3 Full time
Beira-Mar
38%
Draw
26%
União Lamas
37%
Beira-Mar vs União Lamas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beira-Mar vs União Lamas
| Probability | Beira-Mar | Draw | União Lamas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 25.6% | 36.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.5% | 25.6% | 36.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Beira-Mar and União Lamas expected goals
Beira-Mar
1.60
União Lamas
1.58
Total expected goals: 3.18
Beira-Mar and União Lamas attack and defence ratings
Beira-Mar
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
1.26 +26%
União Lamas
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Beira-Mar vs União Lamas: result vs prediction
Beira-Mar 3 – 3 União Lamas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Beira-Mar vs União Lamas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beira-Mar | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beira-Mar | 37.5% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| União Lamas | 36.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.3% |
| No | 35.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beira-Mar win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 62.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Beira-Mar vs União Lamas stats
Beira-Mar and União Lamas recent form
| Beira-Mar |
L |
| União Lamas |
LW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Beira-Mar vs União Lamas head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Beira-Mar wins
1Draws
1União Lamas wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Beira-Mar | União Lamas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 4-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | União Lamas | Beira-Mar | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | União Lamas | Beira-Mar | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 0-2 |
| 2024-11-10 | Beira-Mar | União Lamas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.