Taça de Portugal
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Olímpico do Montijo
vs
Atlético CP
0 – 4 Full time
Olímpico do Montijo
37%
Draw
32%
Atlético CP
31%
Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP
| Probability | Olímpico do Montijo | Draw | Atlético CP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.1% | 32.2% | 30.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.1% | 32.2% | 30.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Olímpico do Montijo and Atlético CP expected goals
Olímpico do Montijo
1.15
Atlético CP
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.15
Olímpico do Montijo and Atlético CP attack and defence ratings
Olímpico do Montijo
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Atlético CP
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP: result vs prediction
Olímpico do Montijo 0 – 4 Atlético CP
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
Before and after this match
Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olímpico do Montijo | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olímpico do Montijo | 37.1% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Atlético CP | 30.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olímpico do Montijo win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.1% | |
| 1-0 | 12.0% |
Olímpico do Montijo vs Atlético CP stats
Olímpico do Montijo and Atlético CP recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.