Taça de Portugal · Full time ·Round of 128

Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela

1 – 5 Full time

4′A. van der Heide
19′H. Felix
25′Bebeto
45′Marocas
64′Farru
65′Joao Lima
Imortal Albufeira 42%
Draw 29%
Tondela 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityImortal AlbufeiraDrawTondela
Model42.2%28.6%29.3%
Market———
Final42.2%28.6%29.3%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Imortal Albufe ↓ / Tondela → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 9% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Imortal Albufeira and Tondela expected goals

Imortal Albufeira 1.44
Tondela 1.16

Total expected goals: 2.60

Imortal Albufeira and Tondela attack and defence ratings

Imortal Albufeira

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Tondela

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela: result vs prediction

Imortal Albufeira 1 – 5 Tondela

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 128 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Imortal Albufeira 42.2% 2.37 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.4% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.8% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Imortal Albufeira42.2%
Draw28.6%
Tondela29.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.1%
Under 2.551.9%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.7%
12 (either side)71.4%
X2 (draw or away)57.8%
Handicap -1Imortal Albufeira win20.9%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss57.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-09.5%
2-18.9%

Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela stats

Imortal Albufeira and Tondela recent form

newest first
Imortal Albufeira no matches on record
Tondela WWLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Imortal Albufeira vs Tondela odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.