Portimonense
vs
Tondela
0 – 2 Full time
| 30′ | Arjen Van Der Heide | ||
| 39′ | sarara mateus | ||
| 46′ | Marlon JuniorYanis da Rocha | ||
| 46′ | Joao casimiroDânio Djassi | ||
| 51′ | sarara mateus | ||
| 54′ | Edneygoncalo aguas | ||
| 63′ | Hélder TavaresXabier Huarte Armendáriz | ||
| 64′ | Arjen Van Der HeideTiago Dias | ||
| 64′ | Tiago Filipe Prazeres Ferreirawermeson | ||
| 72′ | Rodrigo Cascavel | ||
| 75′ | Antonio TomaneJoao Marcos Lima Candido | ||
| 75′ | Hugo FélixSphephelo Sithole | ||
| 75′ | Midana Bigna Soares CassamaWelinton Junior | ||
| 87′ | Jose Ricardoian kamga |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
Portimonense vs Tondela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portimonense vs Tondela
| Probability | Portimonense | Draw | Tondela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 31.2% | 25.8% |
| Market | 31.1% | 28.8% | 40.1% |
| Final | 34.1% | 29.4% | 36.5% |
| Edge | +11.9% | +2.4% | -14.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portimonense and Tondela expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Portimonense and Tondela attack and defence ratings
Portimonense
Tondela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portimonense vs Tondela: result vs prediction
Portimonense 0 – 2 Tondela
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portimonense vs Tondela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tondela | 36.5% | 2.74 | -14.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portimonense | 34.1% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Tondela | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.9% |
| No | 55.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tondela win | 9.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.4% | |
| Loss | 74.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.4% |
Portimonense vs Tondela stats
Portimonense and Tondela recent form
| Portimonense |
LLDWWW |
| Tondela |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portimonense and Tondela going into this match
Portimonense record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Tondela record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portimonense vs Tondela head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | Portimonense | Tondela | Segunda Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-12-15 | Tondela | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-01-30 | Portimonense | Tondela | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-22 | Tondela | Portimonense | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2021-03-06 | Portimonense | Tondela | Primeira Liga | 3-0 |
| 2020-10-23 | Tondela | Portimonense | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2020-02-01 | Portimonense | Tondela | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2019-08-19 | Tondela | Portimonense | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2019-04-08 | Tondela | Portimonense | Primeira Liga | 3-2 |
| 2018-12-02 | Portimonense | Tondela | Primeira Liga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portimonense vs Tondela odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.1%, draw 28.8%, away 40.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.24 |
| 1xBet | 2.98 | 3.22 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.96 | 3.22 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06 | 3.33 | 2.38 |
| SBO | 2.87 | 3.02 | 2.21 |
| Unibet | 2.55 | 3.15 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .