Sporting CP B
vs
Lusitânia Lourosa
1 – 2 Full time
| 17′ | Bruno Faria | ||
| 26′ | Rafael Nel | ||
| 40′ | Rodrigo Dias | ||
| 42′ | Guilherme Araujo Soares | ||
| 45′ | Paulo diogo | ||
| 46′ | Eduardo FelicissimoKauã Wellhington Oliveira Pinto | ||
| 60′ | FabinhoMiguel Teixeira | ||
| 60′ | Paulo Miguel·Gomes FerreiraMicael correia | ||
| 62′ | BiduPaulo Cardoso | ||
| 62′ | Micael SanhaChris Grombahi | ||
| 63′ | Samuel Loureiro Carvalho JustoJoão Simões | ||
| 67′ | Saliou Mandiang | ||
| 69′ | Guilherme Araujo SoaresSilverio | ||
| 76′ | Rafael Nel | ||
| 84′ | João SantosDaniel Paulo dos Santos | ||
| 84′ | Saliou MandiangJoão Silva | ||
| 84′ | Mateo TanlongoZaid Bafdili | ||
| 90′ | João Silva |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa
| Probability | Sporting CP B | Draw | Lusitânia Lourosa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.9% | 32.9% | 38.2% |
| Market | 41.8% | 29.4% | 28.7% |
| Final | 38.6% | 30.3% | 31.1% |
| Edge | -13.0% | +3.5% | +9.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting CP B and Lusitânia Lourosa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.05
Sporting CP B and Lusitânia Lourosa attack and defence ratings
Sporting CP B
Lusitânia Lourosa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa: result vs prediction
Sporting CP B 1 – 2 Lusitânia Lourosa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP B | 38.6% | 2.59 | -13.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP B | 38.6% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 31.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP B win | 10.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 71.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.3% | |
| 0-1 | 13.0% |
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa stats
Sporting CP B and Lusitânia Lourosa recent form
| Sporting CP B |
WWLWWD |
| Lusitânia Lourosa |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting CP B and Lusitânia Lourosa going into this match
Sporting CP B record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Lusitânia Lourosa record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Lusitânia Lourosa | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Sporting CP B | Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Lusitânia Lourosa | Sporting CP B | Liga 3 | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-07 | Sporting CP B | Lusitânia Lourosa | Liga 3 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting CP B vs Lusitânia Lourosa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 29.4%, away 28.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.05 | 3.44 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.05 | 3.45 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.06 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.06 | 3.67 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 2.96 | 3.13 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .