Felgueiras 1932
vs
Penafiel
1 – 2 Full time
| 27′ | Juanda Fuentes | ||
| 45′ | Filipe Cruz | ||
| 46′ | Filipe CruzBilal Ouacharaf | ||
| 46′ | Tiago Ventura da SilvaAdson Samuel Nunes dos Chaves | ||
| 53′ | Teddy AllohDouglas Borel | ||
| 62′ | Adson Samuel Nunes dos Chaves | ||
| 63′ | Michel CostaLucas da Costa Duarte | ||
| 63′ | Juanda FuentesMairlon Ramon | ||
| 63′ | francisco varelaJoao Miguel | ||
| 77′ | Afonso FreitasAfonso Peixoto | ||
| 79′ | Landinho | ||
| 81′ | Iano SimãoRicardo Schutte | ||
| 81′ | Max SvenssonClaudio Mendes | ||
| 81′ | Jaime Sánchez | ||
| 83′ | Claudio Mendes | ||
| 86′ | LandinhoRodrigo Santos Ribeiro |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel
| Probability | Felgueiras 1932 | Draw | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.2% | 29.7% | 40.2% |
| Market | 39.9% | 30.6% | 29.6% |
| Final | 37.4% | 30.3% | 32.2% |
| Edge | -9.7% | -0.9% | +10.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Felgueiras 1932 and Penafiel expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.46
Felgueiras 1932 and Penafiel attack and defence ratings
Felgueiras 1932
Penafiel
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel: result vs prediction
Felgueiras 1932 1 – 2 Penafiel
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Felgueiras 1932 | 37.4% | 2.67 | -9.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Felgueiras 1932 | 37.4% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Penafiel | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Felgueiras 1932 win | 12.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 70.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 10.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.8% |
Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel stats
Felgueiras 1932 and Penafiel recent form
| Felgueiras 1932 |
LWDDDW |
| Penafiel |
WWWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Felgueiras 1932 and Penafiel going into this match
Felgueiras 1932 record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Penafiel record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Felgueiras 1932 | Penafiel | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Penafiel | Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-05 | Felgueiras 1932 | Penafiel | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-09 | Penafiel | Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Penafiel odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.9%, draw 30.4%, away 29.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.30 | 3.05 | 3.05 |
| 1xBet | 2.35 | 3.04 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.04 | 3.12 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.12 | 3.22 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 2.93 | 2.93 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.88 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .