Segunda Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932

1 – 0 Full time

13′Armando Lopes
15′Michel CostaAfonso Peixoto
21′M. Pires
31′Jean-Pierre Rhyner
44′Mario Rivas
46′F. FrancaBeni Jetour
46′T. LeiteLucas Duarte
47′Karamoko Bamba
65′M. TavaresThio
65′J. RhynerL. Rocha
65′G. BambaNeto
68′Lucas Duarte
69′Aleksandar Vulić
69′Anthony Carter
76′M. PiresH. Morschel
81′VenturaSamuel
88′LandinhoGustavo Mendes
89′Angelo Neto
90′Afonso Freitas
90′A. BastunovJ. Sampaio

Estádio do FC Vizela, VizelaReferee: Jose Carlos Silva Campos Rodrigues, Portugal

Vizela 37%
Draw 32%
Felgueiras 1932 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVizelaDrawFelgueiras 1932
Model27.0%36.3%36.7%
Market40.4%30.3%29.3%
Final37.0%31.8%31.2%
Edge-13.4%+6.0%+7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Vizela

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vizela ↓ / Felgueiras 193 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 16% 1 13% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Vizela and Felgueiras 1932 expected goals

Vizela 0.77
Felgueiras 1932 0.95

Total expected goals: 1.72

Vizela and Felgueiras 1932 attack and defence ratings

Vizela

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Felgueiras 1932

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932: result vs prediction

Vizela 1 – 0 Felgueiras 1932

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Segunda Liga

Before and after this match

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vizela 37.0% 2.70 -13.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 75.3% 1.33 — —
Both teams to score No 65.8% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 68.8% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 73.0% 1.37 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vizela37.0%
Draw31.8%
Felgueiras 193231.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.524.7%
Under 2.575.3%
Both teams to scoreYes34.2%
No65.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)68.8%
12 (either side)68.2%
X2 (draw or away)63.0%
Handicap -1Vizela win8.8%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss73.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-019.3%
0-115.7%
1-114.4%

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 stats

Vizela and Felgueiras 1932 recent form

newest first
Vizela WDLWLW
Felgueiras 1932 WDDDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vizela and Felgueiras 1932 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Felgueiras 1932 record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Vizela wins 2Draws 2Felgueiras 1932 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08Felgueiras 1932VizelaSegunda Liga0-1
2025-10-24VizelaFelgueiras 1932Segunda Liga2-2
2025-07-23VizelaFelgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs0-1
2025-04-26VizelaFelgueiras 1932Segunda Liga1-1
2024-12-15Felgueiras 1932VizelaSegunda Liga2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vizela vs Felgueiras 1932 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 30.3%, away 29.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.29 3.08 3.20
Bet365 2.20 3.00 3.10
BetVictor 2.30 3.00 3.10
Marathonbet 2.27 3.08 3.18
Pinnacle 2.36 3.18 3.23
William Hill 2.25 2.90 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.28 ▲ +0.02
X 3.04 —
2 3.14 ▲ +0.01

3 snapshots recorded, from .