Felgueiras 1932
vs
Chaves
2 – 1 Full time
| 32′ | Francisco França | ||
| 32′ | Gilberto Garcia Roa | ||
| 36′ | Tiago Silva | ||
| 37′ | Marcos Andre | ||
| 40′ | Dudu Cruz | ||
| 48′ | M. Rivas | ||
| 52′ | Marcos AndreR. Esajas | ||
| 52′ | G. GarciaW. Tavares | ||
| 55′ | T. LeiteLucas Duarte | ||
| 61′ | KikoA. Romero | ||
| 61′ | CostinhaArmando Jr | ||
| 64′ | A. Rodrigues | ||
| 67′ | Léo Alaba | ||
| 69′ | Leo AlabaA. Herbert | ||
| 73′ | Filipe Cruz | ||
| 77′ | F. FrancaH. Martins | ||
| 77′ | VenturaR. Ribeiro | ||
| 87′ | Michel CostaA. Freitas | ||
| 87′ | M. RivasSamuel | ||
| 88′ | Mamadou Tounkara |
Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves
| Probability | Felgueiras 1932 | Draw | Chaves |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.4% | 27.5% | 21.1% |
| Market | 39.7% | 29.8% | 30.6% |
| Final | 42.6% | 29.2% | 28.2% |
| Edge | +11.7% | -2.3% | -9.4% |
Why Felgueiras 1932
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.95.
- The market prices Felgueiras 1932 below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Felgueiras 1932 and Chaves expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Felgueiras 1932 and Chaves attack and defence ratings
Felgueiras 1932
Chaves
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves: result vs prediction
Felgueiras 1932 2 – 1 Chaves
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Felgueiras 1932 | 42.6% | 2.35 | +11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Felgueiras 1932 | 42.6% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Chaves | 28.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Felgueiras 1932 win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 48.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.4% | |
| 2-0 | 10.0% |
Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves stats
Felgueiras 1932 and Chaves recent form
| Felgueiras 1932 |
DDDWDL |
| Chaves |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Felgueiras 1932 and Chaves going into this match
Felgueiras 1932 record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Felgueiras 1932 | Chaves | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Chaves | Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Felgueiras 1932 vs Chaves odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 29.7%, away 30.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.37 | 3.08 | 3.06 |
| 888Sport | 2.25 | 2.88 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.15 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.35 | 3.08 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36 | 3.14 | 3.12 |
| SBO | 2.13 | 2.89 | 2.80 |
| Unibet | 2.60 | 3.05 | 2.48 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .