Portimonense
vs
Leixoes
0 – 2 Full time
Portimonense vs Leixoes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portimonense vs Leixoes
| Probability | Portimonense | Draw | Leixoes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.3% | 27.6% | 29.1% |
| Market | 32.2% | 28.9% | 38.9% |
| Final | 34.9% | 28.6% | 36.5% |
| Edge | +11.2% | -1.4% | -9.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portimonense and Leixoes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Portimonense and Leixoes attack and defence ratings
Portimonense
Leixoes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Portimonense vs Leixoes: result vs prediction
Portimonense 0 – 2 Leixoes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portimonense vs Leixoes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leixoes | 36.5% | 2.74 | -9.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portimonense | 34.9% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Leixoes | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leixoes win | 12.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 71.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Portimonense vs Leixoes stats
Portimonense and Leixoes recent form
| Portimonense |
DWWWDW |
| Leixoes |
LWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portimonense and Leixoes going into this match
Portimonense record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Leixoes record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portimonense vs Leixoes head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Leixoes | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Portimonense | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-02 | Portimonense | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-05 | Leixoes | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 3-0 |
| 2023-07-30 | Leixoes | Portimonense | Taça da Liga | 0-0 |
| 2017-04-29 | Portimonense | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 3-3 |
| 2016-12-11 | Leixoes | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Portimonense vs Leixoes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.2%, draw 29.0%, away 38.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.92 | 3.25 | 2.28 |
| 1xBet | 2.88 | 3.18 | 2.43 |
| 888Sport | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.75 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.13 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.30 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.86 | 3.18 | 2.41 |
| Pinnacle | 2.88 | 3.30 | 2.44 |
| SBO | 2.59 | 2.92 | 2.26 |
| Superbet | 2.92 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Unibet | 2.88 | 3.20 | 2.17 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .