FC Porto B
vs
Penafiel
0 – 3 Full time
| 5′ | M. Svensson | ||
| 17′ | Dinis Rodrigues | ||
| 35′ | J. Pinto | ||
| 42′ | Davo | ||
| 46′ | C. VarelaE. Ferreira | ||
| 50′ | G. Negrao | ||
| 55′ | T. SilvaKaue | ||
| 55′ | D. CunhaD. Muxito | ||
| 55′ | M. MideE. Granaas | ||
| 55′ | DavoR. Schutte | ||
| 60′ | Pedro Sá | ||
| 61′ | T. MelnichenkoM. Niang | ||
| 66′ | Jaime Sánchez | ||
| 68′ | Martim Cunha | ||
| 69′ | Eirik Granaas | ||
| 76′ | J. PintoDouglas Borel | ||
| 76′ | Pedro SaF. Varela | ||
| 88′ | J. SanchezJ. Miguel | ||
| 88′ | M. SvenssonK. Nifanso | ||
| 89′ | Mame Alassane Niang |
FC Porto B vs Penafiel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Porto B vs Penafiel
| Probability | FC Porto B | Draw | Penafiel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.0% | 29.6% | 38.4% |
| Market | 32.7% | 28.6% | 38.6% |
| Final | 32.6% | 28.9% | 38.6% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +1.0% | -0.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Porto B and Penafiel expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
FC Porto B and Penafiel attack and defence ratings
FC Porto B
Penafiel
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Porto B vs Penafiel: result vs prediction
FC Porto B 0 – 3 Penafiel
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Porto B vs Penafiel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Penafiel | 38.6% | 2.59 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto B | 32.6% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Penafiel | 38.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Penafiel win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-1 | 9.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
FC Porto B vs Penafiel stats
FC Porto B and Penafiel recent form
| FC Porto B |
WLLWWW |
| Penafiel |
WDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Porto B and Penafiel going into this match
Penafiel record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Porto B vs Penafiel head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Penafiel | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-12 | FC Porto B | Penafiel | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Porto B vs Penafiel odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 28.8%, away 38.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.82 | 3.20 | 2.36 |
| 1xBet | 2.84 | 3.25 | 2.42 |
| 888Sport | 2.50 | 2.75 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.13 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.25 | 2.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.82 | 3.25 | 2.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87 | 3.34 | 2.43 |
| SBO | 2.71 | 2.91 | 2.18 |
| Unibet | 2.43 | 3.05 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .