Tondela
vs
FC Porto B
3 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | Bernardo Lima | ||
| 29′ | A. van der Heide | ||
| 36′ | Tiago Silva | ||
| 40′ | Arjen Van Der Heide | ||
| 42′ | Gastón Novero | ||
| 44′ | Hélder Tavares | ||
| 44′ | Duarte Cunha | ||
| 46′ | D. CunhaC. Varela | ||
| 46′ | T. MelnichenkoE. Ferreira | ||
| 47′ | Tomane | ||
| 49′ | Mateus Mide | ||
| 52′ | Farru | ||
| 58′ | T. SilvaE. Granaas | ||
| 58′ | B. LimaJ. Teixeira | ||
| 61′ | A. van der HeideMateus Sarara | ||
| 61′ | CiceroTiago Dias | ||
| 67′ | Y. PereiraM. Cunha | ||
| 72′ | H. FelixX. Huarte | ||
| 75′ | G. NoveroJoao Lima | ||
| 75′ | TomaneRicharllyson | ||
| 87′ | Joao Lima |
Tondela vs FC Porto B overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tondela vs FC Porto B
| Probability | Tondela | Draw | FC Porto B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.4% | 32.1% | 37.4% |
| Market | 55.8% | 25.2% | 19.0% |
| Final | 49.4% | 26.9% | 23.6% |
| Edge | -25.3% | +6.9% | +18.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tondela and FC Porto B expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.15
Tondela and FC Porto B attack and defence ratings
Tondela
FC Porto B
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tondela vs FC Porto B: result vs prediction
Tondela 3 – 0 FC Porto B
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tondela vs FC Porto B markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tondela | 49.4% | 2.02 | -25.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tondela | 49.4% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| FC Porto B | 23.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.6% |
| No | 55.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tondela win | 11.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 69.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.0% | |
| 0-1 | 12.0% |
Tondela vs FC Porto B stats
Tondela and FC Porto B recent form
| Tondela |
LLLWLW |
| FC Porto B |
LWLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tondela and FC Porto B going into this match
Tondela record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tondela vs FC Porto B head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | FC Porto B | Tondela | Segunda Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-19 | Tondela | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-01-21 | Tondela | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-13 | FC Porto B | Tondela | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-22 | Tondela | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-15 | FC Porto B | Tondela | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tondela vs FC Porto B odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 25.0%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.66 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.91 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.75 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 3.82 | 5.12 |
| Unibet | 1.74 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.40 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .