União de Leiria
vs
Portimonense
1 – 0 Full time
| 28′ | Hugo Masaki | ||
| 30′ | Joao casimiro | ||
| 41′ | jaiminho | ||
| 43′ | José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu | ||
| 46′ | Tiago Filipe Prazeres Ferreirawermeson | ||
| 46′ | Midana Bigna Soares CassamaDânio Djassi | ||
| 46′ | Joao casimiroYanis da Rocha | ||
| 64′ | Miguel Ângelo Moreira de Magalhães | ||
| 65′ | jaiminhoJair silva da goncalves | ||
| 65′ | Pablo FernandezTharlley Oliveira Da Silva | ||
| 65′ | Albert LottinSamuel Ntanda-Lukisa | ||
| 65′ | Marlon JuniorWelinton Junior | ||
| 71′ | Shoya NakajimaDiogo Cabral | ||
| 86′ | Juan MuñozKouassi Eboue | ||
| 90′ | José Nabil Ondo Onva AdjuguPedro Oliveira |
União de Leiria vs Portimonense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: União de Leiria vs Portimonense
| Probability | União de Leiria | Draw | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 27.8% | 30.5% |
| Market | 41.9% | 28.2% | 29.8% |
| Final | 41.9% | 28.1% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -0.2% | -0.4% | +0.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
União de Leiria and Portimonense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
União de Leiria and Portimonense attack and defence ratings
União de Leiria
Portimonense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
União de Leiria vs Portimonense: result vs prediction
União de Leiria 1 – 0 Portimonense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
União de Leiria vs Portimonense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | União de Leiria | 41.9% | 2.39 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | União de Leiria | 41.9% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Portimonense | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.3% |
| No | 43.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | União de Leiria win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 58.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
União de Leiria vs Portimonense stats
União de Leiria and Portimonense recent form
| União de Leiria |
WWLLDL |
| Portimonense |
LDWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
União de Leiria and Portimonense going into this match
Portimonense record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
União de Leiria vs Portimonense head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | União de Leiria | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Portimonense | União de Leiria | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-01-26 | União de Leiria | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-08-17 | Portimonense | União de Leiria | Segunda Liga | 0-3 |
| 2020-11-20 | União de Leiria | Portimonense | Taça de Portugal | 1-0 |
| 2016-09-25 | União de Leiria | Portimonense | Taça de Portugal | 4-3 |
| 2011-04-17 | União de Leiria | Portimonense | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2010-11-29 | Portimonense | União de Leiria | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
União de Leiria vs Portimonense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.9%, draw 28.2%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.28 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 3.28 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.30 | 3.33 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .