Leixoes
vs
Amarante
3 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Lourenço Figueiredo Henriques | ||
| 8′ | Claudio Vtor Rodrigues Araujo | ||
| 41′ | Luccas Paraizo | ||
| 45′ | Salvador Agra | ||
| 45′ | Luccas Paraizo | ||
| 46′ | Ricardo joaoIan Custódio dos Anjos | ||
| 46′ | costa diogoSimão Silva | ||
| 46′ | Simao BertelliIgor Stefanovic | ||
| 52′ | Bryan Rochez | ||
| 59′ | Ruben AlvesRudi Almeida | ||
| 59′ | melvin costaArome Emmanuel Idache | ||
| 60′ | Rudi Almeida | ||
| 64′ | Simão Silva | ||
| 74′ | Lourenço Figueiredo HenriquesSemeu Commey | ||
| 78′ | feliciano mendes | ||
| 79′ | Luccas ParaizoRuben Pina | ||
| 79′ | Salvador AgraKaique Rodrigues Barbosa Santos | ||
| 79′ | Joao filipeJosé António Dória Santos Campelo | ||
| 90′ | Serif Nhaga | ||
| 90′ | Rafael BarbosaHugo Faria |
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
Leixoes vs Amarante overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leixoes vs Amarante
| Probability | Leixoes | Draw | Amarante |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.5% | 30.6% | 27.8% |
| Market | 49.6% | 27.3% | 23.1% |
| Final | 47.6% | 28.1% | 24.3% |
| Edge | -8.0% | +3.3% | +4.7% |
Why Leixoes
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leixoes and Amarante expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Leixoes and Amarante attack and defence ratings
Leixoes
Amarante
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leixoes vs Amarante: result vs prediction
Leixoes 3 – 1 Amarante
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Leixoes vs Amarante markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leixoes | 47.6% | 2.10 | -8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leixoes | 47.6% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Amarante | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leixoes win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Leixoes vs Amarante stats
Leixoes and Amarante recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leixoes and Amarante going into this match
Leixoes record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leixoes vs Amarante head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-19 | Amarante | Leixoes | Taça de Portugal | 1-2 |
| 2018-10-21 | Leixoes | Amarante | Taça de Portugal | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leixoes vs Amarante odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 27.3%, away 23.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.88 | 3.44 | 3.98 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.44 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.64 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.25 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .