Torreense
vs
Vizela
0 – 3 Full time
Torreense vs Vizela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Torreense vs Vizela
| Probability | Torreense | Draw | Vizela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.2% | 29.9% | 19.9% |
| Market | 46.6% | 28.0% | 25.5% |
| Final | 47.5% | 28.4% | 24.1% |
| Edge | +3.6% | +1.9% | -5.6% |
Why Torreense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.79.
- The market prices Torreense below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Torreense and Vizela expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Torreense and Vizela attack and defence ratings
Torreense
Vizela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Torreense vs Vizela: result vs prediction
Torreense 0 – 3 Vizela
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Torreense vs Vizela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torreense | 47.5% | 2.11 | +3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torreense | 47.5% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Vizela | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.4% |
| No | 57.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Torreense win | 25.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 50.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.4% |
| 1-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.4% |
Torreense vs Vizela stats
Torreense and Vizela recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Torreense and Vizela going into this match
Torreense record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Torreense vs Vizela head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Torreense | Vizela | Segunda Liga | 4-0 |
| 2026-01-05 | Vizela | Torreense | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Torreense vs Vizela odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 28.0%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.98 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.28 | 3.79 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.20 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.06 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.28 | 3.78 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.34 | 3.88 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.92 | 3.11 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 1.96 | 3.15 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .