Vizela vs Amarante Prediction — 22 Aug 2026

Vizela vs Amarante overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vizela vs Amarante

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Vizela	Draw	Amarante
Model	28.1%	32.5%	39.3%
Market	48.8%	27.4%	23.8%
Final	43.7%	28.7%	27.6%
Edge	-20.7%	+5.1%	+15.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Vizela

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

86%

2+ goals

63%

3+ goals

35%

No goals

14%

Vizela and Amarante expected goals

Vizela

0.93

Amarante

1.15

Total expected goals: 2.08

Vizela and Amarante attack and defence ratings

Vizela

Attack

0.73 -27%

Defence

1.05 +5%

Amarante

Attack

0.95 -5%

Defence

1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Vizela vs Amarante: result vs prediction

Vizela 0 – 0 Amarante

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Segunda Liga

Benfica B v Portimonense — match page · 2026-08-21
Tondela vs Academica — team news & stats · 2026-08-21
Leixoes vs União de Leiria · 2026-08-22
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense — team news & stats · 2026-08-22
Chaves vs AVS · 2026-08-23
Penafiel v Sporting CP B — match page · 2026-08-23
Farense vs Felgueiras 1932 — team news & stats · 2026-08-24
Feirense vs FC Porto B · 2026-08-24

Before and after this match

Vizela, previous: Portimonense vs Vizela prediction
Vizela, next: Torreense – Vizela, 2026-08-29
Amarante, previous: Amarante – Lusitânia Lourosa, 2026-08-16
Amarante, next: Amarante v Benfica B analysis

Vizela vs Amarante markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Vizela	43.7%	2.29	-20.7%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	65.5%	1.53	—	—
Both teams to score	No	57.2%	1.75	—	—
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.4%	1.38	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	72.0%	1.39	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Vizela	43.7%
	Draw	28.7%
	Amarante	27.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	34.5%
	Under 2.5	65.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	42.8%
	No	57.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.4%
	12 (either side)	71.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	56.3%
Handicap -1	Vizela win	10.3%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.7%
	Loss	72.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	14.7%
	0-0	13.8%
	0-1	13.0%

Vizela vs Amarante stats

Vizela and Amarante recent form

newest first

Vizela	LWLWDW
Amarante	LLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vizela vs Amarante head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Vizela vs Amarante odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.8%, draw 27.4%, away 23.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	1.86	3.50	3.75
1xBet	1.90	3.46	3.88
888Sport	1.85	3.25	3.70
Bet365	1.83	3.30	3.70
BetVictor	1.87	3.30	3.90
Betano	1.91	3.45	3.90
Betfair	1.85	3.30	3.80
Dafabet	1.95	3.50	3.95
Marathonbet	1.88	3.46	3.88
Pinnacle	1.93	3.54	4.00
SBO	1.91	2.96	3.25
Superbet	1.92	3.40	3.85
Unibet	1.88	3.00	3.95
William Hill	1.85	3.20	3.70

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.