Lusitânia Lourosa
vs
Torreense
2 – 2 Full time
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense
| Probability | Lusitânia Lourosa | Draw | Torreense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.1% | 30.5% | 38.3% |
| Market | 28.2% | 28.8% | 43.0% |
| Final | 28.9% | 29.3% | 41.8% |
| Edge | +3.0% | +1.7% | -4.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Lusitânia Lourosa and Torreense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Lusitânia Lourosa and Torreense attack and defence ratings
Lusitânia Lourosa
Torreense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense: result vs prediction
Lusitânia Lourosa 2 – 2 Torreense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Torreense | 41.8% | 2.39 | -4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 28.9% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Torreense | 41.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.9% |
| No | 51.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Torreense win | 17.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.6% |
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense stats
Lusitânia Lourosa and Torreense recent form
| Lusitânia Lourosa |
WWLLDW |
| Torreense |
DLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Lusitânia Lourosa and Torreense going into this match
Torreense record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Lusitânia Lourosa | Torreense | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-30 | Torreense | Lusitânia Lourosa | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Lusitânia Lourosa | Torreense | Taça de Portugal | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Torreense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.3%, draw 28.9%, away 42.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.22 |
| 1xBet | 3.40 | 3.18 | 2.15 |
| 888Sport | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.21 |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.18 | 2.13 |
| Pinnacle | 3.57 | 3.25 | 2.17 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 3.00 | 2.14 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.17 |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 2.85 | 2.30 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .