Farense
vs
Felgueiras 1932
1 – 1 Full time
Farense vs Felgueiras 1932 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Farense vs Felgueiras 1932
| Probability | Farense | Draw | Felgueiras 1932 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.5% | 37.1% | 22.4% |
| Market | 41.9% | 30.2% | 27.9% |
| Final | 41.5% | 31.9% | 26.5% |
| Edge | -1.4% | +6.9% | -5.5% |
Why Farense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.96 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Farense and Felgueiras 1932 expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.60
Farense and Felgueiras 1932 attack and defence ratings
Farense
Felgueiras 1932
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Farense vs Felgueiras 1932: result vs prediction
Farense 1 – 1 Felgueiras 1932
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Farense vs Felgueiras 1932 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 41.5% | 2.41 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 41.5% |
| Draw | 31.9% | |
| Felgueiras 1932 | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.5% |
| No | 69.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Farense win | 15.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 59.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.4% |
| 1-0 | 18.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.7% |
Farense vs Felgueiras 1932 stats
Farense and Felgueiras 1932 recent form
| Farense |
WWDWLD |
| Felgueiras 1932 |
DDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Farense and Felgueiras 1932 going into this match
Felgueiras 1932 record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Farense vs Felgueiras 1932 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Farense | Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-16 | Felgueiras 1932 | Farense | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Farense vs Felgueiras 1932 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 30.4%, away 27.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.26 | 3.05 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.23 | 2.99 | 3.44 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 2.88 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.05 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Dafabet | 2.36 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.44 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.11 | 3.66 |
| SBO | 2.19 | 2.96 | 2.99 |
| Superbet | 2.27 | 3.05 | 3.30 |
| Unibet | 2.06 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .