Sporting CP B
vs
Farense
2 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | Claudio Falcão | ||
| 43′ | Rodrigo Dias | ||
| 44′ | M. Couto | ||
| 46′ | R. DiasD. Costa | ||
| 46′ | CubaGabriel Barbosa | ||
| 57′ | Lucas Dominguez Taibo | ||
| 58′ | L. D'AgrellaS. Singh | ||
| 69′ | Derick Poloni | ||
| 71′ | Rafael Nel | ||
| 75′ | C. GrombahiIvanildo | ||
| 78′ | J. ResendeVictor Barbara | ||
| 78′ | Derick PoloniJ. Gastao | ||
| 84′ | Claudio Falcão | ||
| 84′ | Claudio Falcão | ||
| 85′ | MattheusR. Da Rocha Borges | ||
| 90′ | Rafael Nel | ||
| 90′ | Rafael Nel | ||
| 90′ | Joao Gastao | ||
| 90′ | Alex Pinto | ||
| 90′ | Sporting CP BKaua Oliveira | ||
| 90′ | R. RodriguesM. Alves | ||
| 90′ | M. SanhaZ. Bafdili | ||
| 90′ | R. Nel |
Sporting CP B vs Farense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting CP B vs Farense
| Probability | Sporting CP B | Draw | Farense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.4% | 38.6% | 47.0% |
| Market | 36.1% | 29.8% | 34.1% |
| Final | 30.7% | 32.0% | 37.3% |
| Edge | -21.7% | +8.8% | +13.0% |
Why Farense
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.96 vs 0.41.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Farense below the model: +13.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting CP B and Farense expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.36
Sporting CP B and Farense attack and defence ratings
Sporting CP B
Farense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sporting CP B vs Farense: result vs prediction
Sporting CP B 2 – 1 Farense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting CP B vs Farense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 37.3% | 2.68 | +13.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP B | 30.7% |
| Draw | 32.0% | |
| Farense | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 15.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 84.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 21.5% |
| No | 78.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Farense win | 18.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.6% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 26.7% |
| 0-1 | 23.5% | |
| 0-2 | 11.7% |
Sporting CP B vs Farense stats
Sporting CP B and Farense recent form
| Sporting CP B |
LWWDLL |
| Farense |
DWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting CP B vs Farense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Farense | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Sporting CP B | Farense | Segunda Liga | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting CP B vs Farense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.2%, draw 29.8%, away 34.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.54 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.08 | 2.71 |
| 888Sport | 2.50 | 2.63 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.75 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 3.08 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71 | 3.12 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.42 | 2.86 | 2.45 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 2.95 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.88 | 2.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .