AVS
vs
Farense
0 – 0 Full time
| 44′ | RoniHiago Santos | ||
| 52′ | Mateus Pivô | ||
| 54′ | Mateus PivôDiogo Brasido | ||
| 54′ | Andrey·Felisberto dos SantosJorge Meireles | ||
| 58′ | Gabriel BarbosaBruno Miguel Vicente dos Santos | ||
| 65′ | Sarpreet Singh | ||
| 67′ | Lazar Rosić | ||
| 69′ | André CandeiasDerick Poloni | ||
| 69′ | Joao·ResendeVictor·Hugo da Silva Barbara | ||
| 71′ | Joseph N'Duquidi | ||
| 73′ | fernando almeida | ||
| 79′ | Abdoulaye keitawander talles | ||
| 79′ | Guilherme NeivaRegis Ndo | ||
| 89′ | Mattheus de Andrade Gama Oliveiraleonardo oliveira de | ||
| 89′ | Alex PintoDario Miranda | ||
| 90′ | Regis Ndo |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 44 | Possession % | 56 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
AVS vs Farense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AVS vs Farense
| Probability | AVS | Draw | Farense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.8% | 33.5% | 37.6% |
| Market | 30.6% | 29.4% | 39.9% |
| Final | 30.2% | 30.5% | 39.4% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +4.1% | -2.3% |
Why Farense
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AVS and Farense expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.98
AVS and Farense attack and defence ratings
AVS
Farense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AVS vs Farense: result vs prediction
AVS 0 – 0 Farense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
AVS vs Farense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Farense | 39.4% | 2.54 | -2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AVS | 30.2% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Farense | 39.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.6% |
| No | 59.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Farense win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.5% |
AVS vs Farense stats
AVS and Farense recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AVS and Farense going into this match
AVS record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AVS vs Farense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-02 | Farense | AVS | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-30 | AVS | Farense | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AVS vs Farense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.6%, draw 29.4%, away 39.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.07 | 3.12 | 2.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.13 | 2.25 |
| Betano | 3.05 | 3.15 | 2.35 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 3.05 | 3.12 | 2.32 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18 | 3.25 | 2.35 |
| SBO | 2.71 | 2.87 | 2.21 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .