Academica
vs
Benfica B
0 – 3 Full time
| 16′ | Francisco Silva | ||
| 29′ | Olivio Tomé | ||
| 38′ | Hugo Nunes | ||
| 46′ | Hugo NunesAmadou Coundoul | ||
| 48′ | Xavier Grande Sánchez | ||
| 55′ | Francisco SilvaLima Felipe | ||
| 61′ | Lima Felipe | ||
| 61′ | Rui GomesAfonso Rodrigues | ||
| 64′ | Nuno Miguel Madeira Fernandes FelixStevan Pedro Dores Manuel | ||
| 64′ | Tiago FreitasRui Silva | ||
| 71′ | Ilies FaureAlioune Mané | ||
| 71′ | Kevin ZohiMartim Tavares | ||
| 79′ | José Netojoao capucho | ||
| 79′ | Gonçalo Carvalho MoreiraFederico Coletta | ||
| 79′ | Jean SinisterraMarcos Paulo | ||
| 84′ | Leandro Silva |
Match stats
| 24 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 13 | Corners | 3 |
Academica vs Benfica B overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Academica vs Benfica B
| Probability | Academica | Draw | Benfica B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 30.3% | 25.3% |
| Market | 42.8% | 27.2% | 30.0% |
| Final | 43.2% | 28.0% | 28.8% |
| Edge | +1.6% | +3.1% | -4.7% |
Why Academica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Academica and Benfica B expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Academica and Benfica B attack and defence ratings
Academica
Benfica B
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Academica vs Benfica B: result vs prediction
Academica 0 – 3 Benfica B
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Academica vs Benfica B markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Academica | 43.2% | 2.31 | +1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Academica | 43.2% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Benfica B | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Academica win | 21.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Academica vs Benfica B stats
Academica and Benfica B recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Academica and Benfica B going into this match
Academica record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Benfica B record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Academica vs Benfica B head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-11 | Academica | Benfica B | Segunda Liga | 3-4 |
| 2021-10-23 | Benfica B | Academica | Segunda Liga | 3-1 |
| 2021-05-16 | Academica | Benfica B | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2021-01-16 | Benfica B | Academica | Segunda Liga | 2-2 |
| 2019-10-05 | Academica | Benfica B | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2019-02-09 | Benfica B | Academica | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2018-09-01 | Academica | Benfica B | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
| 2018-03-09 | Benfica B | Academica | Segunda Liga | 0-4 |
| 2017-09-30 | Academica | Benfica B | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Academica vs Benfica B odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 27.6%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.28 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.38 | 3.16 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 3.00 | 2.90 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.25 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.37 | 3.35 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 3.38 | 3.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.55 | 3.25 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 2.95 | 2.68 |
| Superbet | 2.32 | 3.35 | 2.92 |
| Unibet | 2.35 | 3.15 | 2.65 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .