Chaves
vs
Feirense
1 – 0 Full time
| 21′ | Leandro Santos do Nascimento | ||
| 62′ | Andre Rodrigues | ||
| 64′ | Dru Yearwoodmohamed fofana | ||
| 64′ | Tomás Morais CostaRobyn Esajas | ||
| 70′ | Guilherme Meira Ferreira AlvesPedro Henrique de Oliveira da Silva | ||
| 70′ | Joao OliveiraPeter Adejimi | ||
| 76′ | Pedro Pinto | ||
| 81′ | Wilson TavaresRoberto | ||
| 81′ | Andre RodriguesGilberto García | ||
| 85′ | Aarón RomeroKiko Pereira | ||
| 86′ | Roberto | ||
| 87′ | Luiz Gustavo | ||
| 89′ | Tiago CastroHenrique Pereira | ||
| 89′ | diego morenoArthur Viana |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
Chaves vs Feirense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chaves vs Feirense
| Probability | Chaves | Draw | Feirense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 27.1% | 24.0% |
| Market | 45.6% | 28.2% | 26.2% |
| Final | 46.4% | 27.9% | 25.6% |
| Edge | +3.3% | -1.1% | -2.2% |
Why Chaves
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Chaves below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chaves and Feirense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Chaves and Feirense attack and defence ratings
Chaves
Feirense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chaves vs Feirense: result vs prediction
Chaves 1 – 0 Feirense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chaves vs Feirense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaves | 46.4% | 2.15 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaves | 46.4% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Feirense | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.9% |
| No | 46.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaves win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 51.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | |
| 2-1 | 9.5% |
Chaves vs Feirense stats
Chaves and Feirense recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chaves and Feirense going into this match
Feirense record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Chaves vs Feirense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Feirense | Chaves | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Chaves | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-07 | Feirense | Chaves | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-13 | Chaves | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-01 | Chaves | Feirense | Friendlies Clubs | 4-2 |
| 2022-01-30 | Chaves | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 3-1 |
| 2021-08-22 | Feirense | Chaves | Segunda Liga | 3-1 |
| 2021-01-30 | Chaves | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2020-10-15 | Feirense | Chaves | Segunda Liga | 0-4 |
| 2020-02-22 | Chaves | Feirense | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chaves vs Feirense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.6%, draw 28.2%, away 26.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.03 | 3.30 | 3.59 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.30 | 3.58 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07 | 3.42 | 3.66 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.93 | 3.08 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .