Benfica B
vs
Felgueiras 1932
Garuda Lions Prediction: Benfica B
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932
| Probability | Benfica B | Draw | Felgueiras 1932 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.9% | 33.5% | 39.7% |
| Market | 43.7% | 28.4% | 27.9% |
| Final | 39.5% | 29.7% | 30.9% |
| Edge | -16.8% | +5.0% | +11.7% |
Why Benfica B
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.20, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932 match preview
Benfica B will face Felgueiras 1932 in the Segunda Liga on October 12, 2026. The model indicates a 40% probability of a Benfica B victory, while Felgueiras 1932 has a 31% chance of winning and a 30% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Benfica B, with an 11% probability. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Benfica B recording two wins in their last five matches, while Felgueiras 1932 has also secured two victories in their recent outings.
In terms of expected goals, Benfica B is projected to score 0.86, while Felgueiras 1932 is expected to net 1.11. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 32%, and both teams to score stands at 40%. Historically, the last two encounters between these teams have resulted in one win each.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Benfica B and Felgueiras 1932 expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Benfica B and Felgueiras 1932 attack and defence ratings
Benfica B
Felgueiras 1932
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benfica B | 39.5% | 2.53 | -16.8% | 2.20 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benfica B | 39.5% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Felgueiras 1932 | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.1% |
| No | 59.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica B win | 9.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 73.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 14.1% |
Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932 stats
Benfica B and Felgueiras 1932 recent form
| Benfica B |
WLLDWW |
| Felgueiras 1932 |
WLLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Benfica B and Felgueiras 1932 season so far
Benfica B record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Felgueiras 1932 record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Benfica B | Felgueiras 1932 | Segunda Liga | 4-2 |
| 2025-09-13 | Felgueiras 1932 | Benfica B | Segunda Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.7%, draw 28.4%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13 | 3.24 | 3.32 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.24 | 3.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.24 | 3.45 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .