Segunda Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Leixoes
vs
FC Porto B
1 – 2 Full time
| 16′ | Matheus Costa | ||
| 47′ | Bernardo Lima | ||
| 48′ | Hugo Faria | ||
| 54′ | Matheus Costa | ||
| 57′ | Salvador AgraLourenço Figueiredo Henriques | ||
| 61′ | Miguel Ferreira de Sousa | ||
| 64′ | Luccas ParaizoBryan Rochez | ||
| 64′ | Miguel Ferreira de SousaArthur Baggio | ||
| 65′ | Yoan PereiraMartim cunha | ||
| 65′ | Bernardo LimaTiago Gonçalves da Silva | ||
| 65′ | Joao·TeixeiraDuarte Cunha | ||
| 66′ | Eduardo Ferreira | ||
| 69′ | Bryan Rochez | ||
| 76′ | Bryan Rochez | ||
| 78′ | SimaozinhoSerif Nhaga | ||
| 78′ | PaulinhoFernando Fonseca | ||
| 83′ | Eduardo FerreiraTrofim Melnichenko | ||
| 85′ | José Manuel Bica ReisKaique Rodrigues Barbosa Santos | ||
| 87′ | Gabriel VeronCardoso varela | ||
| 87′ | Mateus Midejoao abreu | ||
| 89′ | Serif Nhaga | ||
| 90′ | Kauê Rodrigues Pessanha | ||
| 90′ | A. Balde |
Leixoes
63%
Draw
22%
FC Porto B
15%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 10 | Corners | 1 |
Leixoes vs FC Porto B overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leixoes vs FC Porto B
| Probability | Leixoes | Draw | FC Porto B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.9% | 17.7% | 8.4% |
| Market | 59.5% | 23.5% | 17.0% |
| Final | 63.1% | 22.1% | 14.8% |
| Edge | +3.6% | -1.5% | -2.2% |
Why Leixoes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 0.70.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Leixoes below our published probability: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
5%
Leixoes and FC Porto B expected goals
Leixoes
2.38
FC Porto B
0.70
Total expected goals: 3.08
Leixoes and FC Porto B attack and defence ratings
Leixoes
Attack
1.46 +46%
Defence
0.78 -22%
FC Porto B
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Leixoes vs FC Porto B: result vs prediction
Leixoes 1 – 2 FC Porto B
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Leixoes vs FC Porto B markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leixoes | 63.1% | 1.58 | +3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Leixoes win | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leixoes | 63.1% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| FC Porto B | 14.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.5% |
| No | 53.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Leixoes win | 51.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 26.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 13.0% |
| 3-0 | 10.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Leixoes vs FC Porto B stats
Leixoes and FC Porto B recent form
| Leixoes |
WDWWLW |
| FC Porto B |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leixoes and FC Porto B going into this match
Leixoes record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Porto B record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leixoes vs FC Porto B head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Leixoes wins
2Draws
4FC Porto B wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | FC Porto B | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 0-3 |
| 2025-12-06 | Leixoes | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 2-4 |
| 2025-03-16 | FC Porto B | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | Leixoes | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 3-0 |
| 2024-02-24 | FC Porto B | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-01 | Leixoes | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 1-3 |
| 2023-03-19 | FC Porto B | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 4-0 |
| 2022-10-08 | Leixoes | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Leixoes | FC Porto B | Segunda Liga | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-04 | FC Porto B | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leixoes vs FC Porto B odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.5%, draw 23.5%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.94 | 5.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.75 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.50 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.90 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.58 | 4.10 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.94 | 5.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.59 | 4.14 | 5.48 |
| SBO | 1.48 | 3.63 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.55 —
X
3.92 ▲ +0.02
2
5.43 ▼ -0.10
13 snapshots recorded, from .