Vizela
vs
Sporting CP B
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vizela
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Vizela vs Sporting CP B overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vizela vs Sporting CP B
| Probability | Vizela | Draw | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 36.3% | 25.2% |
| Market | 42.8% | 28.5% | 28.7% |
| Final | 41.7% | 30.4% | 27.8% |
| Edge | -4.2% | +7.8% | -3.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Vizela vs Sporting CP B match preview
Vizela faces Sporting CP B in a Segunda Liga matchup on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 41% probability of a Vizela victory, while Sporting CP B has a 29% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Vizela, with an expected goals tally of 0.97 for Vizela and 0.73 for Sporting CP B.
Recent form shows Vizela with a record of W-D-W-W-D-L, while Sporting CP B has L-W-W-L-W-W. In their last two encounters, Vizela has secured two wins against Sporting CP B, who have yet to register a victory in this matchup. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 24%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 34%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vizela and Sporting CP B expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.70
Vizela and Sporting CP B attack and defence ratings
Vizela
Sporting CP B
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vizela vs Sporting CP B markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vizela | 41.7% | 2.40 | -4.2% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vizela | 41.7% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Sporting CP B | 27.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.5% |
| No | 66.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vizela win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 61.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.6% |
| 1-0 | 16.4% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Vizela vs Sporting CP B stats
Vizela and Sporting CP B recent form
| Vizela |
WDWWDL |
| Sporting CP B |
LWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vizela and Sporting CP B season so far
Vizela record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting CP B record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vizela vs Sporting CP B head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Vizela | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Sporting CP B | Vizela | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2017-02-09 | Vizela | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga | 2-1 |
| 2016-08-29 | Sporting CP B | Vizela | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vizela vs Sporting CP B odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 28.5%, away 28.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.17 | 3.26 | 3.20 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.22 | 3.30 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.15 | 3.26 | 3.18 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17 | 3.35 | 3.30 |
| SBO | 2.02 | 2.95 | 2.98 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .