Sporting CP B
vs
Portimonense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting CP B
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Sporting CP B is the favourite, not a value bet.
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting CP B vs Portimonense
| Probability | Sporting CP B | Draw | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 33.9% | 29.9% |
| Market | 45.8% | 28.2% | 26.0% |
| Final | 43.4% | 29.7% | 27.0% |
| Edge | -2.4% | +1.4% | +1.0% |
Why Sporting CP B
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.4% per unit staked (our 43.4% × 2.11 − 1).
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense match preview
Sporting CP B hosts Portimonense in the Segunda Liga, with the probabilities indicating a 43% chance of a Sporting CP B victory, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 27% chance for Portimonense. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 13% probability. Sporting CP B has shown fluctuating form recently, recording three wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Portimonense has struggled, with three wins followed by three consecutive losses.
The expected goals for Sporting CP B stand at 1.04, while Portimonense is projected to score 0.92. Additionally, there is a 31% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams are given a 40% chance of scoring. In their last two encounters, Sporting CP B has secured two wins against Portimonense, who have yet to register a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting CP B and Portimonense expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
Sporting CP B and Portimonense attack and defence ratings
Sporting CP B
Portimonense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP B | 43.4% | 2.30 | -2.4% | 2.11 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP B | 43.4% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Portimonense | 27.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.2% |
| No | 59.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP B win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.5% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.3% |
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense stats
Sporting CP B and Portimonense recent form
| Sporting CP B |
WLWWLW |
| Portimonense |
WWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting CP B and Portimonense season so far
Sporting CP B record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Portimonense record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Sporting CP B | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 4-3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Portimonense | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
| 2017-01-15 | Portimonense | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga | 4-0 |
| 2016-08-06 | Sporting CP B | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting CP B vs Portimonense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 28.2%, away 26.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.52 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.10 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.30 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01 | 3.33 | 3.79 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.90 | 3.13 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .