Leixoes
vs
Sporting CP B
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting CP B
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.06.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Leixoes vs Sporting CP B
| Probability | Leixoes | Draw | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 29.6% | 42.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.6% | 29.6% | 42.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Sporting CP B
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 3.76, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +60.9% per unit staked (our 42.8% × 3.76 − 1).
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B match preview
In the upcoming Segunda Liga match, Leixoes will host Sporting CP B. According to our model, Leixoes has a 28% chance of winning, while Sporting CP B holds a 43% probability of victory, with a 30% likelihood of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at an 11% chance. Expected goals are estimated at 1.06 for Leixoes and 1.37 for Sporting CP B, indicating a tighter contest.
Recent form shows Leixoes struggling with three consecutive losses, followed by a win and a draw, whereas Sporting CP B has a mixed record with three wins, a loss, and another win, concluding with a loss. In their last two encounters, each team has secured one win, suggesting a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Leixoes and Sporting CP B expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.43
Leixoes and Sporting CP B attack and defence ratings
Leixoes
Sporting CP B
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP B | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | 3.76 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Leixoes | 27.6% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Sporting CP B | 42.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.1% |
| No | 49.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP B win | 20.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 10.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.0% |
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B stats
Leixoes and Sporting CP B recent form
| Leixoes |
LLLWDW |
| Sporting CP B |
WWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Leixoes and Sporting CP B season so far
Leixoes record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting CP B record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Sporting CP B | Leixoes | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Leixoes | Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Leixoes vs Sporting CP B odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 27.7%, away 25.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.98 | 3.34 | 3.64 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 3.34 | 3.62 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 3.39 | 3.76 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.10 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .