Portimonense
vs
Torreense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Portimonense
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Portimonense vs Torreense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Portimonense vs Torreense
| Probability | Portimonense | Draw | Torreense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.6% | 29.2% | 29.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.6% | 29.2% | 29.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Portimonense
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Portimonense vs Torreense match preview
Portimonense faces Torreense in the Segunda Liga with a probability of 42% for a Portimonense victory, while both a draw and a Torreense win are estimated at 29%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Portimonense, occurring with a 10% likelihood. Expected goals for Portimonense stand at 1.39, compared to Torreense's 1.12, indicating a tighter contest than the probabilities suggest.
In terms of recent form, Portimonense has recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Torreense has achieved two wins, two losses, and a draw in the same timeframe. Notably, Torreense has won both of the last two head-to-head encounters against Portimonense, which may influence the dynamics of this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Portimonense and Torreense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Portimonense and Torreense attack and defence ratings
Portimonense
Torreense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Portimonense vs Torreense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portimonense | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Portimonense | 41.6% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Torreense | 29.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Portimonense win | 20.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 58.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 10.1% | |
| 0-0 | 9.5% |
Portimonense vs Torreense stats
Portimonense and Torreense recent form
| Portimonense |
LWWWLL |
| Torreense |
LLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Portimonense and Torreense season so far
Portimonense record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Torreense record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Portimonense vs Torreense head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Torreense | Portimonense | Segunda Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Portimonense | Torreense | Segunda Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.