Florgrade
vs
Portimonense
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 22% model probability
Florgrade vs Portimonense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Florgrade vs Portimonense
| Probability | Florgrade | Draw | Portimonense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 37.8% | 26.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.1% | 37.8% | 26.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Florgrade vs Portimonense match preview
Florgrade will face Portimonense in the Taça de Portugal on October 17, 2026. According to our model, Florgrade has a 36% chance of winning, while a draw is slightly more likely at 38%. Portimonense has a 26% probability of securing victory. The most anticipated scoreline is a 0-0 draw, projected at 22%. Both teams are expected to struggle offensively, with expected goals of 0.88 for Florgrade and 0.71 for Portimonense.
In terms of recent form, Florgrade has recorded a win, a draw, and a loss in their last three matches, while Portimonense's form shows two losses followed by a draw and a win. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 21%, and both teams scoring is projected at 31%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Florgrade and Portimonense expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.59
Florgrade and Portimonense attack and defence ratings
Florgrade
Portimonense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Florgrade vs Portimonense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Florgrade | 36.1% |
| Draw | 37.8% | |
| Portimonense | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 21.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 78.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.1% |
| No | 68.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Florgrade win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.6% |
| 1-0 | 16.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.0% |
Florgrade vs Portimonense stats
Florgrade and Portimonense recent form
| Florgrade |
WDL |
| Portimonense |
WLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.