Atlético CP
vs
Vizela
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atlético CP
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Atlético CP vs Vizela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético CP vs Vizela
| Probability | Atlético CP | Draw | Vizela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.5% | 31.1% | 19.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.5% | 31.1% | 19.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atlético CP
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 5 vs 3 for the opposition.
Atlético CP vs Vizela match preview
Atlético CP will face Vizela in the Taça de Portugal on October 17, 2026. The model indicates a 50% probability of an Atlético CP victory, with a 31% chance of a draw and a 19% likelihood of a Vizela win. The most probable scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Atlético CP, occurring at a rate of 16%.
In terms of expected goals, Atlético CP is projected to score 1.32, while Vizela is expected to net 0.73. Recent form shows Atlético CP with a record of W-W-L-W-W, contrasting with Vizela's W-D-W-W-D-L. The probabilities and statistics provided are model-based, reflecting the current assessment of both teams' performance.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlético CP and Vizela expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.05
Atlético CP and Vizela attack and defence ratings
Atlético CP
Vizela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Round of 64 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlético CP vs Vizela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético CP | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlético CP | 49.5% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Vizela | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.1% |
| No | 60.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlético CP win | 24.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
Atlético CP vs Vizela stats
Atlético CP and Vizela recent form
| Atlético CP |
WWLWW |
| Vizela |
WDWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.