Taça de Portugal · Full time ·Round of 64

Atlético CP vs Vizela

1 – 0 Full time

50′Nicolas Souza
61′Vizela
63′Atlético CP
71′Vizela
73′Atlético CP
Atlético CP 34%
Draw 27%
Vizela 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Atlético CP vs Vizela overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Atlético CP vs Vizela

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAtlético CPDrawVizela
Model55.9%28.6%15.6%
Market26.9%26.4%46.7%
Final34.2%26.9%38.9%
Edge+7.2%+0.5%-7.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Atlético CP ↓ / Vizela → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 16% 13% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Atlético CP and Vizela expected goals

Atlético CP 1.49
Vizela 0.67

Total expected goals: 2.16

Atlético CP and Vizela attack and defence ratings

Atlético CP

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Vizela

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Atlético CP vs Vizela: result vs prediction

Atlético CP 1 – 0 Vizela

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Atlético CP vs Vizela markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vizela 38.9% 2.57 -7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.4% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 61.1% 1.64 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 84.4% 1.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Atlético CP34.2%
Draw26.9%
Vizela38.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.6%
Under 2.563.4%
Both teams to scoreYes38.9%
No61.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.1%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)65.8%
Handicap -1Vizela win4.4%
Push (exactly one goal)11.1%
Loss84.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.0%
2-012.8%
0-012.7%

Atlético CP vs Vizela stats

Atlético CP and Vizela recent form

newest first
Atlético CP WWLWW
Vizela LWDWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Atlético CP vs Vizela head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Atlético CP wins 0Draws 1Vizela wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-10-21Atlético CPVizelaTaça de Portugal0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Atlético CP vs Vizela odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.9%, draw 26.4%, away 46.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.44 3.50 1.99
Bet365 3.50 3.50 1.83
BetVictor 3.50 3.40 1.93
Marathonbet 3.42 3.50 1.97
Pinnacle 3.12 3.55 2.04
William Hill 3.25 3.20 2.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.