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Taça de Portugal · Full time ·Round of 64

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC

0 – 1 Full time

5′Ruizinho
15′F. DiasT. Strata
41′Ruizinho
41′Ruizinho
45′S. Verdi
46′S. VerdiG. Nogueira
46′B. MukendiM. Mitrovic
46′S. Akoh
59′T. ArcanjoO. Camara
60′A. SidibeY. Mosquera
75′E. LopesL. Almeida
75′S. CamaraD. Pereira
78′Maga
82′J. PintoR. Fonseca
82′M. SantosF. Silvestre
83′V. Andersson
84′R. CardosoJ. Dinis
88′G. Nogueira
90′Vitória SC

Sports Complex Castro Daire

Recreativa de Lamelas 17%
Draw 12%
Vitória SC 72%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRecreativa de LamelasDrawVitória SC
Model60.1%24.3%15.6%
Market2.3%7.4%90.3%
Final16.7%11.6%71.6%
Edge+14.5%+4.2%-18.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Recreativa de ↓ / Vitória SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 12% 10% 3 7% 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Recreativa de Lamelas and Vitória SC expected goals

Recreativa de Lamelas 1.86
Vitória SC 0.85

Total expected goals: 2.71

Recreativa de Lamelas and Vitória SC attack and defence ratings

Recreativa de Lamelas

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Vitória SC

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC: result vs prediction

Recreativa de Lamelas 0 – 1 Vitória SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

Taça de Portugal

Before and after this match

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vitória SC 71.6% 1.40 -18.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.8% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score No 50.7% 1.97 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 88.4% 1.13 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 84.4% 1.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Recreativa de Lamelas16.7%
Draw11.6%
Vitória SC71.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.8%
Under 2.549.2%
Both teams to scoreYes49.3%
No50.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)28.4%
12 (either side)88.4%
X2 (draw or away)83.3%
Handicap -1Vitória SC win5.2%
Push (exactly one goal)10.4%
Loss84.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-011.5%
1-011.4%

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC stats

Recreativa de Lamelas and Vitória SC recent form

newest first
Recreativa de Lamelas W
Vitória SC LDLDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Recreativa de Lamelas vs Vitória SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 2.3%, draw 7.4%, away 90.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 50.00 12.50 1.01
Bet365 41.00 15.00 1.03
BetVictor 41.00 10.00 1.03
Marathonbet 51.00 12.50 1.01
Pinnacle 17.19 8.62 1.07

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.