Primeira Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
Benfica
vs
Vitória SC
2 – 0 Full time
| 17′ | Tony Strata | ||
| 24′ | Samuel Dahl | ||
| 33′ | Gonçalo Nogueira | ||
| 50′ | Toni Borevković | ||
| 52′ | Leandro Barreiro | ||
| 55′ | Tomás Araújo | ||
| 57′ | Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva | ||
| 61′ | Leandro BarreiroFredrik Aursnes | ||
| 61′ | Andreas SchjelderupClaudio Echeverri | ||
| 66′ | Lohann DoucetBeni Mukendi | ||
| 67′ | Miguel NogueiraTelmo Arcanjo | ||
| 72′ | Balieiro Thiago | ||
| 73′ | Alexander BahHeorhii Sudakov | ||
| 73′ | Rafa SilvaDodi Lukebakio | ||
| 73′ | Gonçalo NogueiraMatija Mitrović | ||
| 73′ | Arnel JakupovićPatrick Ouotro | ||
| 75′ | Heorhii Sudakov | ||
| 81′ | Tony StrataMiguel Magalhaes | ||
| 82′ | Vangelis PavlidisJhon Durán |
Benfica
77%
Draw
15%
Vitória SC
8%
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 23 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 0 | Saves | 3 |
| 479 | Accurate passes | 258 |
Benfica vs Vitória SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Benfica vs Vitória SC
| Probability | Benfica | Draw | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.5% | 15.5% | 7.0% |
| Market | 76.8% | 15.1% | 8.0% |
| Final | 77.0% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
Why Benfica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
4%
Benfica and Vitória SC expected goals
Benfica
2.59
Vitória SC
0.69
Total expected goals: 3.28
Benfica and Vitória SC attack and defence ratings
Benfica
Attack
1.84 +84%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Vitória SC
Attack
0.72 -28%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Benfica vs Vitória SC: result vs prediction
Benfica 2 – 0 Vitória SC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Benfica vs Vitória SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benfica | 77.0% | 1.30 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica win | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benfica | 77.0% |
| Draw | 15.2% | |
| Vitória SC | 7.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.8% |
| No | 53.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 23.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica win | 56.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 22.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.6% |
| 3-0 | 10.9% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Benfica vs Vitória SC stats
Benfica and Vitória SC recent form
| Benfica |
LWWWWW |
| Vitória SC |
DLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Benfica and Vitória SC going into this match
Benfica record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.8 goals per game on the road against 2.3 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Vitória SC record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Benfica vs Vitória SC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Benfica wins
3Draws
0Vitória SC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Benfica | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Vitória SC | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2025-04-19 | Vitória SC | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2024-12-07 | Benfica | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Vitória SC | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 2-2 |
| 2023-09-02 | Benfica | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 4-0 |
| 2023-03-18 | Benfica | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 5-1 |
| 2022-10-01 | Vitória SC | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-27 | Benfica | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 3-0 |
| 2021-10-27 | Vitória SC | Benfica | Taça da Liga | 3-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Benfica vs Vitória SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.8%, draw 15.1%, away 8.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.23 | 7.11 | 12.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.75 | 12.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Betano | 1.28 | 6.10 | 12.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.50 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.25 | 6.60 | 11.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 6.25 | 11.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.21 | 7.15 | 13.54 |
| SBO | 1.20 | 6.09 | 9.64 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.21 ▼ -0.03
X
6.17 ▲ +0.62
2
11.62 ▲ +1.62
14 snapshots recorded, from .