Famalicao
vs
Alverca
1 – 4 Full time
| 11′ | Pedro Bondo Francisco | ||
| 13′ | Víctor Rofino Gordo | ||
| 14′ | Francisco Chiquinho | ||
| 20′ | Matheus Mattara ColomboLeonardo Realpe | ||
| 34′ | Francisco Chissumba | ||
| 37′ | Mathias De Amorim | ||
| 39′ | Víctor Rofino Gordo | ||
| 45′ | Diogo Spencer | ||
| 56′ | Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos | ||
| 65′ | Tamás SzűcsTom Van De Looi | ||
| 65′ | Pedro Bondo FranciscoPatricio Salas | ||
| 65′ | Marcos PeñaPedro Santos | ||
| 66′ | Dawda Camara SankharéAndré Vidigal | ||
| 66′ | Davy GuiZé Rafael | ||
| 74′ | Francisco ChiquinhoMatheus Franca | ||
| 74′ | Lucas Figueiredo dos SantosVivaldo Semedo | ||
| 77′ | Vivaldo Semedo | ||
| 78′ | Georgios KoutsiasUmar Abubakar | ||
| 80′ | Isaac JamesE. Jemide | ||
| 85′ | André Vidigal |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 27 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 469 | Accurate passes | 238 |
Famalicao vs Alverca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Famalicao vs Alverca
| Probability | Famalicao | Draw | Alverca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.4% | 28.5% | 20.2% |
| Market | 50.7% | 27.9% | 21.4% |
| Final | 50.9% | 28.0% | 21.1% |
| Edge | +0.2% | +0.1% | -0.3% |
Why Famalicao
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.86.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Famalicao and Alverca expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Famalicao and Alverca attack and defence ratings
Famalicao
Alverca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Famalicao vs Alverca: result vs prediction
Famalicao 1 – 4 Alverca
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Famalicao vs Alverca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Famalicao | 50.9% | 1.97 | +0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Famalicao | 50.9% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Alverca | 21.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Famalicao win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 48.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.9% | |
| 2-0 | 10.7% |
Famalicao vs Alverca stats
Famalicao and Alverca recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Famalicao and Alverca going into this match
Famalicao record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alverca record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Famalicao vs Alverca head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Famalicao | Alverca | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Alverca | Famalicao | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Alverca | Famalicao | Taça de Portugal | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Famalicao vs Alverca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 27.9%, away 21.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.48 | 4.38 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.88 | 3.55 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.86 | 3.34 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.87 | 3.41 | 4.82 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 3.06 | 3.53 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .