Moreirense
vs
GIL Vicente
0 – 1 Full time
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moreirense vs GIL Vicente
| Probability | Moreirense | Draw | GIL Vicente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 31.5% | 33.7% |
| Market | 27.7% | 30.4% | 41.9% |
| Final | 29.5% | 30.7% | 39.8% |
| Edge | +7.1% | +1.1% | -8.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moreirense and GIL Vicente expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Moreirense and GIL Vicente attack and defence ratings
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente: result vs prediction
Moreirense 0 – 1 GIL Vicente
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GIL Vicente | 39.8% | 2.51 | -8.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moreirense | 29.5% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| GIL Vicente | 39.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | GIL Vicente win | 14.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 66.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-0 | 10.8% |
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente stats
Moreirense and GIL Vicente recent form
| Moreirense |
DWLLWL |
| GIL Vicente |
DLLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Moreirense and GIL Vicente going into this match
Moreirense record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
GIL Vicente record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | GIL Vicente | Moreirense | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2026-02-07 | Moreirense | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-29 | GIL Vicente | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | GIL Vicente | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-01-12 | GIL Vicente | Moreirense | Taça de Portugal | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-08 | Moreirense | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-20 | Moreirense | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-12-11 | GIL Vicente | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-08 | GIL Vicente | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2021-11-26 | Moreirense | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Moreirense vs GIL Vicente odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.7%, draw 30.4%, away 41.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.50 | 3.32 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.15 | 2.31 |
| Marathonbet | 3.36 | 3.18 | 2.16 |
| Pinnacle | 3.54 | 3.15 | 2.31 |
| SBO | 3.14 | 2.92 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .