Academico Viseu
vs
Estoril
Garuda Lions Prediction: Academico Viseu
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
Academico Viseu vs Estoril overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Academico Viseu vs Estoril
| Probability | Academico Viseu | Draw | Estoril |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.5% | 26.3% | 11.2% |
| Market | 41.3% | 27.6% | 31.1% |
| Final | 46.6% | 27.3% | 26.1% |
| Edge | +21.2% | -1.3% | -20.0% |
Why Academico Viseu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Academico Viseu below the model: +21.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Academico Viseu vs Estoril match preview
Academico Viseu hosts Estoril in a Primeira Liga matchup on October 10, 2026. The model indicates a 47% probability of an Academico Viseu victory, while Estoril has a 26% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Academico Viseu, with an 18% probability. Expected goals suggest Academico Viseu will score 1.60, while Estoril is projected to net only 0.54.
In terms of recent form, Academico Viseu has shown a stronger performance with three wins and a draw in their last six matches, contrasted with Estoril's six-match winless streak, comprising five losses and one draw. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 36%, and both teams to score is at 34%, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Academico Viseu and Estoril expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Academico Viseu and Estoril attack and defence ratings
Academico Viseu
Estoril
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Academico Viseu vs Estoril markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Academico Viseu | 46.6% | 2.15 | +21.2% | 2.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.5% | 2.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Academico Viseu | 46.6% |
| Draw | 27.3% | |
| Estoril | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.3% |
| No | 65.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Academico Viseu win | 35.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 37.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.8% |
| 2-0 | 15.1% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Academico Viseu vs Estoril stats
Academico Viseu and Estoril recent form
| Academico Viseu |
WWWLDL |
| Estoril |
LLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Academico Viseu and Estoril season so far
Academico Viseu record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estoril record
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Academico Viseu vs Estoril head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-01 | Academico Viseu | Estoril | Taça da Liga | 3-2 |
| 2021-02-16 | Estoril | Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga | 3-0 |
| 2020-09-24 | Academico Viseu | Estoril | Segunda Liga | 0-2 |
| 2019-11-03 | Estoril | Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga | 3-1 |
| 2019-05-05 | Estoril | Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga | 1-3 |
| 2018-11-18 | Academico Viseu | Estoril | Segunda Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Academico Viseu vs Estoril odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 27.6%, away 31.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.32 | 3.54 | 3.15 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.50 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.02 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29 | 3.39 | 3.13 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.06 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .