Fátima
vs
Academico Viseu
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fátima
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Fátima vs Academico Viseu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fátima vs Academico Viseu
| Probability | Fátima | Draw | Academico Viseu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.1% | 28.2% | 32.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.1% | 28.2% | 32.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Fátima vs Academico Viseu match preview
Fátima faces Academico Viseu in the Taça de Portugal, with kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. The model assigns a 39% probability of a Fátima victory, while Academico Viseu has a 33% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals for Fátima is 1.42, slightly higher than Academico Viseu's 1.28, indicating a competitive match.
Recent form shows Fátima with two wins followed by a loss, while Academico Viseu has three wins, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Fátima, with a 9% probability. Additionally, there is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams scoring has a probability of 56%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fátima and Academico Viseu expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.70
Fátima and Academico Viseu attack and defence ratings
Fátima
Academico Viseu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Fátima vs Academico Viseu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fátima | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fátima | 39.1% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Academico Viseu | 32.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% |
| No | 44.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fátima win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 60.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 2-1 | 8.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.3% |
Fátima vs Academico Viseu stats
Fátima and Academico Viseu recent form
| Fátima |
WWL |
| Academico Viseu |
WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.