Sporting CP
vs
Academico Viseu
Garuda Lions Prediction: Sporting CP
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu
| Probability | Sporting CP | Draw | Academico Viseu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 23.8% | 16.1% |
| Market | 75.9% | 15.4% | 8.6% |
| Final | 72.0% | 17.5% | 10.5% |
| Edge | -15.8% | +8.3% | +7.5% |
Why Sporting CP
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.90.
Best available price on the pick: 1.26, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu match preview
Sporting CP enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 72%, reflecting their recent form of three wins and two draws in their last six matches. The expected goals for Sporting CP stand at 1.91, suggesting a solid offensive performance, while Academico Viseu has an expected goals figure of 0.90, indicating potential struggles in attack.
Academico Viseu has shown some resilience with four wins in their last six matches, but their overall probability of winning is only 11%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Sporting CP, which aligns with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 52% likelihood of both teams finding the net.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sporting CP and Academico Viseu expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Sporting CP and Academico Viseu attack and defence ratings
Sporting CP
Academico Viseu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 72.0% | 1.39 | -15.8% | 1.26 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 72.0% |
| Draw | 17.5% | |
| Academico Viseu | 10.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.6% |
| No | 48.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP win | 36.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 39.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-0 | 11.0% | |
| 1-0 | 10.5% |
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu stats
Sporting CP and Academico Viseu recent form
| Sporting CP |
WWDDWW |
| Academico Viseu |
LWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting CP and Academico Viseu season so far
Sporting CP record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Academico Viseu record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Sporting CP vs Academico Viseu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.9%, draw 15.4%, away 8.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.24 | 7.10 | 11.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.75 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.00 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.26 | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.22 | 6.30 | 10.25 |
| SBO | 1.20 | 5.32 | 8.10 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .