GIL Vicente
vs
FC Porto
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Porto
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GIL Vicente vs FC Porto
| Probability | GIL Vicente | Draw | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 28.1% | 45.2% |
| Market | 12.5% | 21.8% | 65.8% |
| Final | 16.0% | 23.3% | 60.6% |
| Edge | +14.2% | +6.3% | -20.5% |
Why FC Porto
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.48, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto match preview
GIL Vicente faces FC Porto in an upcoming Primeira Liga match, with the probabilities indicating a strong likelihood of a Porto victory at 60%. GIL Vicente's recent form shows two wins, two losses, and a draw, while FC Porto has recorded three wins, a loss, and another win in their last six matches. The expected goals for GIL Vicente stand at 1.11, compared to FC Porto's 1.51, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Historically, GIL Vicente has struggled against FC Porto, having not secured a win in their last two meetings, both of which were victories for Porto. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance that both teams will score in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GIL Vicente and FC Porto expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.62
GIL Vicente and FC Porto attack and defence ratings
GIL Vicente
FC Porto
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto | 60.6% | 1.65 | -20.5% | 1.48 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GIL Vicente | 16.0% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| FC Porto | 60.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.5% |
| No | 46.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Porto win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-2 | 9.2% |
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto stats
GIL Vicente and FC Porto recent form
| GIL Vicente |
WWDLLD |
| FC Porto |
LWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GIL Vicente and FC Porto season so far
GIL Vicente record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
FC Porto record
- They have won 7 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | FC Porto | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-18 | GIL Vicente | FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 12.5%, draw 21.8%, away 65.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 7.70 | 4.43 | 1.48 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 4.20 | 1.42 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 4.10 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 8.00 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Betfair | 7.50 | 4.33 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 8.00 | 4.50 | 1.42 |
| Marathonbet | 7.40 | 4.25 | 1.42 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
15 snapshots recorded, from .