GIL Vicente
vs
Vitória SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vitória SC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Vitória SC is the favourite, not a value bet.
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC
| Probability | GIL Vicente | Draw | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.1% | 33.4% | 33.5% |
| Market | 32.6% | 30.0% | 37.4% |
| Final | 32.7% | 30.8% | 36.4% |
| Edge | +0.1% | +0.9% | -1.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.71, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.3% per unit staked (our 36.4% × 2.71 − 1).
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC match preview
GIL Vicente faces Vitória SC in a tightly contested Primeira Liga match, with both teams showing similar probabilities of winning at 34% for GIL Vicente and 35% for Vitória SC, while a draw stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, with expected goals for GIL Vicente at 1.00 and for Vitória SC at 1.01. Recent form indicates GIL Vicente has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches, while Vitória SC has two wins in their last six outings.
In their last two encounters, GIL Vicente has not secured a victory against Vitória SC, with one draw and one loss. The model suggests a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% probability that both teams will score in this matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GIL Vicente and Vitória SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
GIL Vicente and Vitória SC attack and defence ratings
GIL Vicente
Vitória SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitória SC | 36.4% | 2.74 | -1.0% | 2.71 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GIL Vicente | 32.7% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Vitória SC | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.6% |
| No | 58.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitória SC win | 13.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 66.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 12.1% |
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC stats
GIL Vicente and Vitória SC recent form
| GIL Vicente |
LWWWDL |
| Vitória SC |
WWLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GIL Vicente and Vitória SC season so far
GIL Vicente record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Vitória SC record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | GIL Vicente | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Vitória SC | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.6%, draw 30.0%, away 37.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.20 | 2.71 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.74 | 3.08 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 3.14 | 2.59 |
| SBO | 2.70 | 2.91 | 2.30 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .