SC Braga
vs
Famalicao
Garuda Lions Prediction: SC Braga
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — SC Braga is the favourite, not a value bet.
SC Braga vs Famalicao overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Braga vs Famalicao
| Probability | SC Braga | Draw | Famalicao |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 32.5% | 40.1% |
| Market | 54.7% | 26.0% | 19.3% |
| Final | 47.9% | 27.6% | 24.5% |
| Edge | -6.8% | +1.6% | +5.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.7% per unit staked (our 47.9% × 1.78 − 1).
SC Braga vs Famalicao match preview
SC Braga faces Famalicao in their upcoming Primeira Liga match on November 1, 2026. According to our model, SC Braga has a 48% chance of winning, while Famalicao has a 24% chance, and a draw stands at 28%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of SC Braga, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expected goals for SC Braga is 0.92, compared to Famalicao's 1.16.
In terms of recent form, SC Braga has recorded one win in their last five matches, with a sequence of losses and one draw. Conversely, Famalicao has shown slightly better form, achieving two wins and two draws in their last six outings. In their last two head-to-head encounters, SC Braga has one win and one draw against Famalicao, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SC Braga and Famalicao expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
SC Braga and Famalicao attack and defence ratings
SC Braga
Famalicao
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
SC Braga vs Famalicao markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 47.9% | 2.09 | -6.8% | 1.78 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 47.9% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Famalicao | 24.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Braga win | 10.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 72.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.2% |
SC Braga vs Famalicao stats
SC Braga and Famalicao recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SC Braga and Famalicao season so far
SC Braga record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Famalicao record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SC Braga vs Famalicao head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | SC Braga | Famalicao | Primeira Liga | 2-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | Famalicao | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SC Braga vs Famalicao odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 26.0%, away 19.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.77 | 3.78 | 4.95 |
| Betano | 1.78 | 3.60 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.62 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.65 | 4.98 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.60 |