Primeira Liga Football Predictions
Fixtures, model probabilities and a results-derived table for Primeira Liga — 18 teams. The 2026/27 season has produced 175 goals in 64 matches (2.73 per game).
64matches · 2026/27 season
175goals
2.73avg goals / match
60fixtures in window
7with a model pick
updated
Next Primeira Liga fixtures
14.72
X3.54
21.98
Full prediction →
110.10
X5.35
21.40
Full prediction →
12.42
X3.62
23.21
Full prediction →
12.40
X3.46
23.41
Full prediction → Value picks in Primeira Liga
1
Pick: Academico Viseu
Low
- Model
- 62%
- Market
- 41%
- Edge
- +21.2%
- Best odds
- 2.32
1
Pick: Arouca
Low
- Model
- 56%
- Market
- 45%
- Edge
- +10.6%
- Best odds
- 2.15
2
Pick: Santa Clara
Low
- Model
- 58%
- Market
- 51%
- Edge
- +7.0%
- Best odds
- 1.94
An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.
Upcoming Primeira Liga fixtures
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casa Piav Santa Clara
|
2 | Low | 4.72 | 3.54 | 1.98 | → | |
 Maritimov FC Porto
|
2 | Low | 10.10 | 5.35 | 1.40 | → | |
 Academico Viseuv Estoril
|
1 | Low | 2.42 | 3.62 | 3.21 | → | |
 Rio Avev Nacional
|
1 | Low | 2.40 | 3.46 | 3.41 | → | |
 Benficav Vitória SC
|
1 | Low | 1.29 | 6.85 | 12.74 | → | |
 Aroucav Estrela
|
1 | Low | 2.22 | 3.67 | 3.60 | → | |
 Famalicaov Alverca
|
1 | Low | 1.96 | 3.64 | 4.64 | → | |
| Vitória SCvMaritimo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AlvercavArouca
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| EstrelavCasa Pia
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
 GIL VicentevFC Porto
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
Estorilv Moreirense
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
Nacionalv SC Braga
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Rio AvevFamalicao
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
 Sporting CPvAcademico Viseu
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Santa ClaravBenfica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Casa PiavSporting CP
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MoreirensevEstrela
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| FC PortovEstoril
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AroucavNacional
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MaritimovSanta Clara
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Academico ViseuvRio Ave
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| SC BragavFamalicao
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| BenficavAlverca
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| GIL VicentevVitória SC
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| FamalicaovArouca
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NacionalvAcademico Viseu
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AlvercavCasa Pia
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Sporting CPvMoreirense
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Santa ClaravGIL Vicente
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| EstorilvMaritimo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Vitória SCvFC Porto
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Rio AvevSC Braga
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| EstrelavBenfica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MaritimovNacional
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MoreirensevSanta Clara
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AroucavRio Ave
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Academico ViseuvAlverca
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Vitória SCvEstrela
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| GIL VicentevEstoril
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| FC PortovSporting CP
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| BenficavFamalicao
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Casa PiavSC Braga
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| SC BragavArouca
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| NacionalvBenfica
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Rio AvevCasa Pia
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Santa ClaravFC Porto
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Sporting CPvMaritimo
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| EstorilvVitória SC
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| FamalicaovAcademico Viseu
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| AlvercavMoreirense
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| EstrelavGIL Vicente
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| BenficavSC Braga
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| FC PortovEstrela
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MaritimovRio Ave
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| MoreirensevFamalicao
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Vitória SCvAlverca
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| EstorilvSanta Clara
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| Academico ViseuvArouca
|
— | — | — | — | — | ||
| GIL VicentevSporting CP
|
— | — | — | — | — |
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Primeira Liga goals per match
Mean goals in the matches played each week of the season.
Primeira Liga form table
| Team | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto |
21 | WWWWW |
| Sporting CP |
18 | WDDWW |
| Benfica |
16 | LWWWW |
| Santa Clara |
15 | DWWDW |
| Arouca |
11 | DLDWL |
Ranked by points, then goal difference — computed from played results, not an imported table.
Trending Primeira Liga markets
Over 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS
50%
Home wins
38%
Draws
28%
Away wins
34%
Most common scores: 2-2 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 0-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%)
How the markets actually landed over 64 played matches, 2026/27 season — realised frequencies, not a forecast.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto |
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | +15 | 21 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Santa Clara |
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 15 | DWWDW |
| 5 | Arouca |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 11 | DLDWL |
| 6 | GIL Vicente |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 11 | WDLLD |
| 7 | Academico Viseu |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 8 | SC Braga |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 11 | LDWLW |
| 9 | Estrela |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 10 | LDWDW |
| 10 | Alverca |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 | WWLDL |
| 11 | Maritimo |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | DLLLD |
| 12 | Moreirense |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 8 | LDWLL |
| 13 | Famalicao |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 7 | WDDDL |
| 14 | Vitória SC |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 | DLDLW |
| 15 | Nacional |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 17 | Casa Pia |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Estoril |
7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 2 | LLDLL |
Primeira Liga recent results
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC BragavSporting CP
|
1–3 | 2✓ | Low | → | |
| MoreirensevGIL Vicente
|
0–1 | 2✓ | Low | → | |
| FC PortovBenfica
|
3–1 | 2✗ | Low | → | |
| EstorilvCasa Pia
|
1–2 | 1✗ | Low | → | |
| Santa ClaravSC Braga
|
0–0 | 2✗ | Low | → | |
| EstrelavAcademico Viseu
|
0–2 | 1✗ | Low | → |