Aarhus
vs
SC Braga
0 – 0 Full time
| 28′ | Adrian Leon Barišić | ||
| 60′ | G. LinksJ. Andersen | ||
| 60′ | R. CarstensenF. Emmery | ||
| 62′ | M. DorgelesJ. Wind | ||
| 67′ | Magnus Knudsen | ||
| 71′ | C. McCowattT. Bech | ||
| 71′ | S. TchamcheJ. Bogere | ||
| 73′ | Diogo Travassos | ||
| 77′ | R. HortaD. Rodrigues | ||
| 77′ | P. VictorF. Navarro | ||
| 85′ | S. JorgensenM. Solbakken | ||
| 86′ | Colin Rösler | ||
| 90′ | G. MartinezB. Arrey-Mbi | ||
| 90′ | V. GomezF. Costa |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 26 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 8 | Saves | 5 |
| 438 | Accurate passes | 340 |
Aarhus vs SC Braga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aarhus vs SC Braga
| Probability | Aarhus | Draw | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.3% | 30.7% | 27.1% |
| Market | 23.2% | 26.6% | 50.2% |
| Final | 28.0% | 27.6% | 44.4% |
| Edge | +4.8% | +1.0% | -5.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aarhus and SC Braga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.29
Aarhus and SC Braga attack and defence ratings
Aarhus
SC Braga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aarhus vs SC Braga: result vs prediction
Aarhus 0 – 0 SC Braga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split
- Trabzonspor v Freiburg — match page
- FC Thun v Heart Of Midlothian — match page
- KuPS v Gent — match page
- Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Aarhus vs SC Braga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 44.4% | 2.25 | -5.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aarhus | 28.0% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| SC Braga | 44.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Braga win | 10.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.7% | |
| Loss | 72.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Aarhus vs SC Braga stats
Aarhus and SC Braga recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aarhus and SC Braga going into this match
SC Braga record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aarhus vs SC Braga head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Aarhus vs SC Braga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.2%, draw 26.6%, away 50.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.25 | 3.56 | 1.92 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 4.00 | 3.50 | 1.87 |
| Dafabet | 4.10 | 3.65 | 1.92 |
| Marathonbet | 4.10 | 3.44 | 1.85 |
| Pinnacle | 4.36 | 3.60 | 1.88 |
| SBO | 3.64 | 3.32 | 1.87 |
| William Hill | 4.00 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .