Trabzonspor
vs
Freiburg
0 – 1 Full time
| 14′ | L. Kubler | ||
| 27′ | Noah Saviolo | ||
| 53′ | Chibuike Nwaiwu | ||
| 58′ | B. MendyO. Tufan | ||
| 61′ | K. GotoY. Suzuki | ||
| 61′ | V. GrifoD. Scherhant | ||
| 68′ | Maximilian Eggestein | ||
| 72′ | C. IrieN. Beste | ||
| 81′ | Yannick Engelhardt | ||
| 84′ | Jordy Makengo | ||
| 87′ | M. EskihellacB. Bouchouari | ||
| 87′ | L. KublerP. Treu |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 510 | Accurate passes | 270 |
Trabzonspor vs Freiburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trabzonspor vs Freiburg
| Probability | Trabzonspor | Draw | Freiburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.2% | 17.5% | 15.4% |
| Market | 41.0% | 26.0% | 33.0% |
| Final | 47.6% | 23.9% | 28.6% |
| Edge | +6.5% | -2.1% | -4.4% |
Why Trabzonspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 1.33.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Trabzonspor below our published probability: +6.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trabzonspor and Freiburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.11
Trabzonspor and Freiburg attack and defence ratings
Trabzonspor
Freiburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Trabzonspor vs Freiburg: result vs prediction
Trabzonspor 0 – 1 Freiburg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- FC Midtjylland v Ajax — match page
- Aarhus v SC Braga — match page
- Atalanta v Kairat Almaty — match page
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split
- FC Thun v Heart Of Midlothian — match page
- KuPS v Gent — match page
- Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Trabzonspor vs Freiburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 47.6% | 2.10 | +6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 47.6% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Freiburg | 28.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.5% |
| No | 30.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win | 47.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 32.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 3-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-1 | 6.7% |
Trabzonspor vs Freiburg stats
Trabzonspor and Freiburg recent form
| Trabzonspor |
WWWWWW |
| Freiburg |
WWLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trabzonspor vs Freiburg head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Trabzonspor vs Freiburg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 26.0%, away 33.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.37 | 3.63 | 2.96 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.70 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.75 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.34 | 3.70 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.50 | 2.85 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36 | 3.70 | 2.91 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.42 | 2.72 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .