UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 3

KuPS vs Gent

0 – 0 Full time

23′B. ArmahG. Engvall
52′Taneli Hämäläinen
54′Momodou Sonko
75′A. AikiS. Heiskanen
75′S. PasanenJ. Eskesen
79′M. SonkoG. De Meyer
79′A. KadriE. H. Seck
85′J. VergaraK. Wilson
88′P. ParzyszekT. Jyry
90′Tibe De Vlieger

Tammelan Stadion, TampereReferee: R. Harvey

KuPS 20%
Draw 25%
Gent 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 3
53 Possession % 47
3 Corners 7
18 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
3 Saves 1
490 Accurate passes 429

KuPS vs Gent overview

Garuda Lions analysis: KuPS vs Gent

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKuPSDrawGent
Model25.6%30.2%44.2%
Market18.1%23.8%58.1%
Final20.0%25.4%54.6%
Edge+1.9%+1.6%-3.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Gent

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.96.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

KuPS ↓ / Gent → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 12% 9% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

KuPS and Gent expected goals

KuPS 0.96
Gent 1.34

Total expected goals: 2.31

KuPS and Gent attack and defence ratings

KuPS

Attack 0.73 -27%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Gent

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

KuPS vs Gent: result vs prediction

KuPS 0 – 0 Gent

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

KuPS vs Gent markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gent 54.6% 1.83 -3.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.4% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score No 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2KuPS20.0%
Draw25.4%
Gent54.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.6%
Under 2.559.4%
Both teams to scoreYes47.0%
No53.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.4%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)80.0%
Handicap -1Gent win21.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
0-112.1%
0-011.2%

KuPS vs Gent stats

KuPS and Gent recent form

newest first
KuPS LDDLWL
Gent LWLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

KuPS and Gent going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gent record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

KuPS vs Gent head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

KuPS vs Gent odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 18.1%, draw 23.8%, away 58.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 5.33 4.06 1.66
Bet365 5.25 3.90 1.62
BetVictor 5.25 3.80 1.62
Betano 5.40 4.10 1.67
Betfair 5.00 4.00 1.60
Dafabet 5.40 4.00 1.66
Marathonbet 5.15 3.92 1.60
Pinnacle 5.14 4.19 1.65
SBO 4.94 3.65 1.58
William Hill 4.80 3.80 1.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.20 ▼ -0.60
X 3.96 ▼ -0.04
2 1.62 ▲ +0.04

14 snapshots recorded, from .