FC Midtjylland
vs
Ajax
1 – 6 Full time
| 9′ | T. Arokodare | ||
| 28′ | F. Etim | ||
| 35′ | Kjell Wätjen | ||
| 43′ | Kjell Wätjen | ||
| 43′ | Kjell Wätjen | ||
| 45′ | Denil Castillo | ||
| 46′ | Cho Gue-SungD. Beni | ||
| 46′ | D. CastilloP. Bravo | ||
| 46′ | F. EtimJ. Emefile | ||
| 52′ | T. Arokodare | ||
| 59′ | O. Wijndal | ||
| 60′ | S. JohannesenS. Iheanacho | ||
| 67′ | D. Klaassen | ||
| 68′ | P. BillingHong Hyun-Seok | ||
| 68′ | O. WijndalD. Blind | ||
| 68′ | A. OuazaneR. Bounida | ||
| 70′ | Y. BaasM. Abdalla | ||
| 70′ | T. ArokodareMarcos Leonardo | ||
| 74′ | O. Gloukh | ||
| 75′ | D. KlaassenJ. Torrents | ||
| 82′ | Marcos Leonardo |
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 29 | Possession % | 71 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 3 |
| 230 | Accurate passes | 667 |
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Midtjylland vs Ajax
| Probability | FC Midtjylland | Draw | Ajax |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.9% | 22.3% | 28.8% |
| Market | 32.6% | 24.8% | 42.7% |
| Final | 36.6% | 24.1% | 39.2% |
| Edge | +4.1% | -0.6% | -3.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Midtjylland and Ajax expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.80
FC Midtjylland and Ajax attack and defence ratings
FC Midtjylland
Ajax
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax: result vs prediction
FC Midtjylland 1 – 6 Ajax
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
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- Atalanta v Kairat Almaty — match page
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
- Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split
- Trabzonspor v Freiburg — match page
- FC Thun v Heart Of Midlothian — match page
- KuPS v Gent — match page
- Mjallby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ajax | 39.2% | 2.55 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Midtjylland | 36.6% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| Ajax | 39.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.1% |
| No | 27.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ajax win | 14.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.6% | |
| Loss | 71.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.7% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 7.0% |
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax stats
FC Midtjylland and Ajax recent form
| FC Midtjylland |
WWWLWD |
| Ajax |
WWWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Midtjylland and Ajax going into this match
FC Midtjylland record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Ajax record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.1 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 2.8 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-25 | Ajax | FC Midtjylland | UEFA Champions League | 3-1 |
| 2020-11-03 | FC Midtjylland | Ajax | UEFA Champions League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Midtjylland vs Ajax odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.6%, draw 24.8%, away 42.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.92 | 3.88 | 2.29 |
| Bet365 | 2.90 | 3.75 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 3.90 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.80 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 2.95 | 3.90 | 2.26 |
| Marathonbet | 2.81 | 3.74 | 2.21 |
| Pinnacle | 2.95 | 4.08 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 2.67 | 3.58 | 2.19 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .