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UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 3

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

2 – 1 Full time

35′Aleksandar Katai
43′Domi Berlanga
45′Álex Sánchez
46′T. HandelD. Luckassen
46′Kim Ye-geonB. Dieng
46′L. LoizouO. Bukari
51′Domi Berlanga
51′Domi Berlanga
58′SouleB. Arellano
62′B. Arellano
68′V. KostovM. Ivanic
72′Miloš Veljković
72′V. AlonsoL. Diaby
79′FK Crvena ZvezdaV. Lucic
80′V. Lucic
81′David LopezR. Lafarge
81′F. ChouaibJ. Camara
89′Jilmar Torres
90′Matej Gaštarov
90′Juan Camara
90′J. Diaz

Stadion Rajko Mit, BelgradeReferee: H. Nalbandyan

FK Crvena Zvezda 86%
Draw 9%
Inter Club d'Escaldes 5%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

29 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
55 Possession % 45
6 Corners 3
12 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
2 Saves 7
412 Accurate passes 306

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFK Crvena ZvezdaDrawInter Club d'Escaldes
Model75.3%15.5%9.2%
Market89.5%7.4%3.0%
Final86.0%9.5%4.6%
Edge-3.6%+2.0%+1.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why FK Crvena Zvezda

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.93.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FK Crvena Zvez ↓ / Inter Club d'E → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 7% 2 9% 9% 3 9% 8% 4+ 12% 11%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 72%
No goals 3%

FK Crvena Zvezda and Inter Club d'Escaldes expected goals

FK Crvena Zvezda 2.78
Inter Club d'Escaldes 0.93

Total expected goals: 3.71

FK Crvena Zvezda and Inter Club d'Escaldes attack and defence ratings

FK Crvena Zvezda

Attack 1.55 +55%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Inter Club d'Escaldes

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes: result vs prediction

FK Crvena Zvezda 2 – 1 Inter Club d'Escaldes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FK Crvena Zvezda 86.0% 1.16 -3.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.6% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.4% 1.74 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 95.4% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 FK Crvena Zvezda win 55.6% 1.80 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FK Crvena Zvezda86.0%
Draw9.5%
Inter Club d'Escaldes4.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.6%
Under 2.528.4%
Both teams to scoreYes57.4%
No42.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)95.4%
12 (either side)90.5%
X2 (draw or away)14.0%
Handicap -1FK Crvena Zvezda win55.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss24.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-09.5%
2-18.8%
3-08.8%

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes stats

FK Crvena Zvezda and Inter Club d'Escaldes recent form

newest first
FK Crvena Zvezda WWDWLW
Inter Club d'Escaldes LLDDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FK Crvena Zvezda and Inter Club d'Escaldes going into this match

league record before kick-off

Inter Club d'Escaldes record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 89.5%, draw 7.4%, away 3.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.05 15.50 41.00
Bet365 1.06 13.00 29.00
BetVictor 1.06 11.00 26.00
Betano 1.08 12.50 60.00
Betfair 1.06 13.00 34.00
Dafabet 1.07 13.00 30.00
Marathonbet 1.05 11.25 30.00
Pinnacle 1.06 14.43 32.58
SBO 1.06 10.12 20.20
William Hill 1.06 12.00 34.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.06 ▼ -0.01
X 12.75 ▲ +1.75
2 31.29 ▲ +5.29

14 snapshots recorded, from .