Macva
vs
FK Crvena Zvezda
Garuda Lions Prediction: FK Crvena Zvezda
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.82.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda
| Probability | Macva | Draw | FK Crvena Zvezda |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15.6% | 25.0% | 59.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 15.6% | 25.0% | 59.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why FK Crvena Zvezda
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda match preview
Macva faces FK Crvena Zvezda in the Serbia Super Liga, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, FK Crvena Zvezda holds a significant advantage with a 59% probability of winning, compared to Macva's 16% and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected goals suggest a scoreline of 0.82 for Macva and 1.79 for FK Crvena Zvezda, aligning with the most likely score of 0-1, which has a 12% probability.
Recent form indicates that Macva has struggled, recording four losses and two draws in their last six matches. In contrast, FK Crvena Zvezda has shown stronger performance, with four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same timeframe. Both teams have a 48% probability of scoring, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 48%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Macva and FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Macva and FK Crvena Zvezda attack and defence ratings
Macva
FK Crvena Zvezda
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 59.4% | 1.68 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | 1.19 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.6% | 2.46 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macva | 15.6% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 59.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FK Crvena Zvezda win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 40.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-1 | 11.9% | |
| 0-2 | 11.8% |
Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda stats
Macva and FK Crvena Zvezda recent form
| Macva |
LDDLLD |
| FK Crvena Zvezda |
WDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Macva and FK Crvena Zvezda season so far
Macva record
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 12 matches.
FK Crvena Zvezda record
- They have won 11 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.4 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Macva vs FK Crvena Zvezda head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | FK Crvena Zvezda | Macva | Serbia Super Liga | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.