IMT Novi Beograd
vs
Cukaricki
Garuda Lions Prediction: IMT Novi Beograd
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki overview
Garuda Lions analysis: IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki
| Probability | IMT Novi Beograd | Draw | Cukaricki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.2% | 31.0% | 21.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 47.2% | 31.0% | 21.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why IMT Novi Beograd
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.81.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki match preview
IMT Novi Beograd faces Cukaricki in the Serbia Super Liga with a kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, IMT Novi Beograd has a 47% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 31% and Cukaricki at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of IMT Novi Beograd, with a probability of 14%. Expected goals are calculated at 1.32 for IMT Novi Beograd and 0.81 for Cukaricki, indicating a potential struggle for the visitors to find the net.
In terms of recent form, IMT Novi Beograd has recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, while Cukaricki has two wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record from the last three encounters shows one win for each team and one draw, suggesting a competitive matchup is likely. Both teams to score is estimated at 42%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is at 36%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.13
IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki attack and defence ratings
IMT Novi Beograd
Cukaricki
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
Before and after this match
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | IMT Novi Beograd | 47.2% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Cukaricki | 21.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | IMT Novi Beograd win | 22.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 52.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.3% |
| 1-1 | 14.0% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki stats
IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki recent form
| IMT Novi Beograd |
LWWDLD |
| Cukaricki |
WWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
IMT Novi Beograd and Cukaricki season so far
IMT Novi Beograd record
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Cukaricki record
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
IMT Novi Beograd vs Cukaricki head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Cukaricki | IMT Novi Beograd | Serbia Super Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-28 | Cukaricki | IMT Novi Beograd | Serbia Super Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-27 | IMT Novi Beograd | Cukaricki | Serbia Super Liga | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.